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Some Investors May Be Willing To Look Past Hubei Hongyuan Pharmaceutical Technology's (SZSE:301246) Soft Earnings

Some Investors May Be Willing To Look Past Hubei Hongyuan Pharmaceutical Technology's (SZSE:301246) Soft Earnings

一些投資者可能願意忽視湖北宏源醫藥科技(SZSE: 301246)的軟收益
Simply Wall St ·  04/29 02:06

The market was pleased with the recent earnings report from Hubei Hongyuan Pharmaceutical Technology Co., Ltd. (SZSE:301246), despite the profit numbers being soft. However, we think the company is showing some signs that things are more promising than they seem.

儘管利潤數字疲軟,但市場對湖北宏源醫藥科技股份有限公司(SZSE: 301246)最近的收益報告感到滿意。但是,我們認爲該公司顯示出一些跡象,表明情況比看起來更有希望。

earnings-and-revenue-history
SZSE:301246 Earnings and Revenue History April 29th 2024
SZSE: 301246 2024 年 4 月 29 日的收益和收入歷史記錄

Zooming In On Hubei Hongyuan Pharmaceutical Technology's Earnings

放大湖北宏源藥業科技的收益

One key financial ratio used to measure how well a company converts its profit to free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio. To get the accrual ratio we first subtract FCF from profit for a period, and then divide that number by the average operating assets for the period. The ratio shows us how much a company's profit exceeds its FCF.

用於衡量公司將其利潤轉化爲自由現金流(FCF)的效果的一個關鍵財務比率是應計比率。爲了獲得應計比率,我們首先從一段時間內的利潤中減去FCF,然後將該數字除以該期間的平均運營資產。該比率向我們顯示了公司的利潤超過其FCF的程度。

Therefore, it's actually considered a good thing when a company has a negative accrual ratio, but a bad thing if its accrual ratio is positive. While having an accrual ratio above zero is of little concern, we do think it's worth noting when a company has a relatively high accrual ratio. That's because some academic studies have suggested that high accruals ratios tend to lead to lower profit or less profit growth.

因此,當公司的應計比率爲負時,這實際上被認爲是一件好事,但是如果應計比率爲正,則被認爲是一件壞事。儘管應計比率高於零並不令人擔憂,但我們確實認爲,當公司的應計比率相對較高時,值得注意。那是因爲一些學術研究表明,高應計比率往往會導致利潤下降或利潤增長放緩。

For the year to March 2024, Hubei Hongyuan Pharmaceutical Technology had an accrual ratio of 0.24. Therefore, we know that it's free cashflow was significantly lower than its statutory profit, which is hardly a good thing. Over the last year it actually had negative free cash flow of CN¥548m, in contrast to the aforementioned profit of CN¥53.6m. We also note that Hubei Hongyuan Pharmaceutical Technology's free cash flow was actually negative last year as well, so we could understand if shareholders were bothered by its outflow of CN¥548m. However, that's not all there is to consider. We can see that unusual items have impacted its statutory profit, and therefore the accrual ratio.

在截至2024年3月的一年中,湖北宏源醫藥科技的應計比率爲0.24。因此,我們知道它的自由現金流大大低於其法定利潤,這並不是一件好事。在過去的一年裏,它實際上有 負面的 自由現金流爲5.48億元人民幣,而上述利潤爲5,360萬元人民幣。我們還注意到,湖北宏源醫藥科技去年的自由現金流實際上也爲負數,因此我們可以理解股東是否因其5.48億元人民幣的流出而感到困擾。但是,這還不是要考慮的全部。我們可以看到,不尋常的項目影響了其法定利潤,從而影響了應計比率。

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Hubei Hongyuan Pharmaceutical Technology.

注意:我們始終建議投資者檢查資產負債表的實力。點擊此處查看我們對湖北宏源醫藥科技的資產負債表分析。

How Do Unusual Items Influence Profit?

不尋常的物品如何影響利潤?

Hubei Hongyuan Pharmaceutical Technology's profit suffered from unusual items, which reduced profit by CN¥14m in the last twelve months. If this was a non-cash charge, it would have made the accrual ratio better, if cashflow had stayed strong, so it's not great to see in combination with an uninspiring accrual ratio. It's never great to see unusual items costing the company profits, but on the upside, things might improve sooner rather than later. We looked at thousands of listed companies and found that unusual items are very often one-off in nature. And that's hardly a surprise given these line items are considered unusual. If Hubei Hongyuan Pharmaceutical Technology doesn't see those unusual expenses repeat, then all else being equal we'd expect its profit to increase over the coming year.

湖北宏源製藥科技的利潤受到不尋常的影響,在過去的十二個月中,利潤減少了1400萬元人民幣。如果這是非現金支出,如果現金流保持強勁,本來可以改善應計比率,因此,再加上平淡無奇的應計比率,就不太好了。看到不尋常的項目使公司利潤損失從來都不是一件好事,但從好的方面來看,情況可能遲早會好轉。我們調查了數千家上市公司,發現不尋常的物品本質上往往是一次性的。鑑於這些單列項目被認爲不尋常,這並不奇怪。如果湖北宏源醫藥科技不看到這些不尋常的支出重演,那麼在其他條件相同的情況下,我們預計其利潤將在來年增加。

Our Take On Hubei Hongyuan Pharmaceutical Technology's Profit Performance

我們對湖北宏源製藥科技盈利表現的看法

In conclusion, Hubei Hongyuan Pharmaceutical Technology's accrual ratio suggests that its statutory earnings are not backed by cash flow, even though unusual items weighed on profit. Based on these factors, it's hard to tell if Hubei Hongyuan Pharmaceutical Technology's profits are a reasonable reflection of its underlying profitability. So if you'd like to dive deeper into this stock, it's crucial to consider any risks it's facing. To that end, you should learn about the 2 warning signs we've spotted with Hubei Hongyuan Pharmaceutical Technology (including 1 which doesn't sit too well with us).

總之,湖北宏源醫藥科技的應計比率表明,儘管不尋常的項目打壓了利潤,但其法定收益沒有現金流支持。基於這些因素,很難判斷湖北宏源藥業科技的利潤是否合理地反映了其潛在的盈利能力。因此,如果你想更深入地研究這隻股票,那麼考慮它面臨的任何風險至關重要。爲此,你應該了解我們在湖北宏源醫藥科技發現的兩個警告信號(包括一個對我們來說不太合適)。

Our examination of Hubei Hongyuan Pharmaceutical Technology has focussed on certain factors that can make its earnings look better than they are. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying to be useful.

我們對湖北宏源醫藥科技的審查側重於某些可能使其收益好於實際的因素。但是,如果你能夠將注意力集中在細節上,總會有更多的事情需要發現。例如,許多人認爲高股本回報率是有利的商業經濟的標誌,而另一些人則喜歡 “關注資金”,尋找內部人士正在買入的股票。雖然可能需要你進行一些研究,但你可能會發現這份免費收集的擁有高股本回報率的公司,或者這份內部人士正在購買的股票清單很有用。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

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