David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We note that Blue Sail Medical Co.,Ltd. (SZSE:002382) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
When Is Debt Dangerous?
Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
What Is Blue Sail MedicalLtd's Net Debt?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at March 2024 Blue Sail MedicalLtd had debt of CN¥3.96b, up from CN¥3.10b in one year. However, because it has a cash reserve of CN¥2.25b, its net debt is less, at about CN¥1.71b.
How Healthy Is Blue Sail MedicalLtd's Balance Sheet?
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Blue Sail MedicalLtd had liabilities of CN¥3.81b falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥3.21b due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had CN¥2.25b in cash and CN¥1.07b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CN¥3.70b.
This is a mountain of leverage relative to its market capitalization of CN¥5.55b. This suggests shareholders would be heavily diluted if the company needed to shore up its balance sheet in a hurry. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Blue Sail MedicalLtd will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.
In the last year Blue Sail MedicalLtd wasn't profitable at an EBIT level, but managed to grow its revenue by 13%, to CN¥5.3b. That rate of growth is a bit slow for our taste, but it takes all types to make a world.
Caveat Emptor
Importantly, Blue Sail MedicalLtd had an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss over the last year. Indeed, it lost CN¥419m at the EBIT level. Considering that alongside the liabilities mentioned above does not give us much confidence that company should be using so much debt. So we think its balance sheet is a little strained, though not beyond repair. However, it doesn't help that it burned through CN¥820m of cash over the last year. So in short it's a really risky stock. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. To that end, you should be aware of the 2 warning signs we've spotted with Blue Sail MedicalLtd .
If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.