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We Think Hangzhou Hikvision Digital Technology (SZSE:002415) Can Manage Its Debt With Ease

We Think Hangzhou Hikvision Digital Technology (SZSE:002415) Can Manage Its Debt With Ease

我們認爲杭州海康威視數字科技(SZSE:002415)可以輕鬆管理債務
Simply Wall St ·  04/24 19:25

The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We note that Hangzhou Hikvision Digital Technology Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002415) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

由伯克希爾·哈撒韋公司的查理·芒格支持的外部基金經理李露對此毫不掩飾,他說:“最大的投資風險不是價格的波動,而是你是否會遭受永久的資本損失。”因此,當你評估公司的風險時,看來聰明的貨幣知道債務(通常涉及破產)是一個非常重要的因素。我們注意到,杭州海康威視數字技術有限公司(SZSE:002415)的資產負債表上確實有債務。但真正的問題是這筆債務是否使公司面臨風險。

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

債務會帶來什麼風險?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

債務可以幫助企業,直到企業難以償還債務,無論是新資本還是自由現金流。如果情況變得非常糟糕,貸款人可以控制業務。儘管這種情況並不常見,但我們經常會看到負債公司永久稀釋股東,因爲貸款人迫使他們以不良价格籌集資金。當然,許多公司使用債務爲增長提供資金,而不會產生任何負面影響。當我們考慮公司使用債務時,我們首先將現金和債務放在一起考慮。

How Much Debt Does Hangzhou Hikvision Digital Technology Carry?

杭州海康威視數字科技揹負了多少債務?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of March 2024 Hangzhou Hikvision Digital Technology had CN¥16.5b of debt, an increase on CN¥14.2b, over one year. However, it does have CN¥44.1b in cash offsetting this, leading to net cash of CN¥27.6b.

你可以點擊下圖查看歷史數字,但它顯示,截至2024年3月,杭州海康威視數字科技在一年內有165億元人民幣的債務,比142億元人民幣有所增加。但是,它確實有441億元的現金抵消了這一點,淨現金爲276億元人民幣。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SZSE:002415 Debt to Equity History April 24th 2024
SZSE: 002415 2024 年 4 月 24 日債務與股本比率的歷史記錄

How Healthy Is Hangzhou Hikvision Digital Technology's Balance Sheet?

杭州海康威視數字科技的資產負債表有多健康?

The latest balance sheet data shows that Hangzhou Hikvision Digital Technology had liabilities of CN¥38.4b due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥9.24b falling due after that. Offsetting this, it had CN¥44.1b in cash and CN¥40.8b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it actually has CN¥37.3b more liquid assets than total liabilities.

最新的資產負債表數據顯示,杭州海康威視數字科技的負債爲384億元人民幣,此後到期的負債爲92.4億元人民幣。與此相抵消的是,它有441億元人民幣的現金和408億元人民幣的應收賬款將在12個月內到期。所以它實際上有37.3億元人民幣 更多 流動資產超過總負債。

This short term liquidity is a sign that Hangzhou Hikvision Digital Technology could probably pay off its debt with ease, as its balance sheet is far from stretched. Simply put, the fact that Hangzhou Hikvision Digital Technology has more cash than debt is arguably a good indication that it can manage its debt safely.

這種短期流動性表明,由於其資產負債表遠未緊張,杭州海康威視數字技術可能會輕鬆還清債務。簡而言之,杭州海康威視數字科技的現金多於債務,這一事實可以說是一個很好的跡象,表明它可以安全地管理債務。

Also positive, Hangzhou Hikvision Digital Technology grew its EBIT by 21% in the last year, and that should make it easier to pay down debt, going forward. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Hangzhou Hikvision Digital Technology's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

同樣樂觀的是,杭州海康威視數字科技公司的息稅前利潤在去年增長了21%,這將使未來更容易償還債務。在分析債務水平時,資產負債表是顯而易見的起點。但是,未來的收益將決定杭州海康威視數字科技未來維持健康資產負債表的能力。因此,如果你想看看專業人士的想法,你可能會發現這份關於分析師利潤預測的免費報告很有趣。

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. While Hangzhou Hikvision Digital Technology has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. Over the most recent three years, Hangzhou Hikvision Digital Technology recorded free cash flow worth 58% of its EBIT, which is around normal, given free cash flow excludes interest and tax. This cold hard cash means it can reduce its debt when it wants to.

但是我們最終的考慮因素也很重要,因爲公司無法用紙面利潤來償還債務;它需要冷硬現金。儘管杭州海康威視數字科技的資產負債表上有淨現金,但仍值得一看其將利息稅前收益(EBIT)轉換爲自由現金流的能力,以幫助我們了解其建立(或侵蝕)現金餘額的速度有多快。在最近三年中,杭州海康威視數字科技錄得的自由現金流佔其息稅前利潤的58%,鑑於自由現金流不包括利息和稅收,這幾乎是正常的。這種冷硬現金意味着它可以在需要時減少債務。

Summing Up

總結

While it is always sensible to investigate a company's debt, in this case Hangzhou Hikvision Digital Technology has CN¥27.6b in net cash and a decent-looking balance sheet. And we liked the look of last year's 21% year-on-year EBIT growth. So we don't think Hangzhou Hikvision Digital Technology's use of debt is risky. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Case in point: We've spotted 1 warning sign for Hangzhou Hikvision Digital Technology you should be aware of.

儘管調查公司的債務總是明智的,但在本案中,杭州海康威視數字科技擁有276億元人民幣的淨現金和不錯的資產負債表。而且我們喜歡去年息稅前利潤同比增長21%的樣子。因此,我們認爲杭州海康威視數字科技使用債務沒有風險。毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表中學到的關於債務的知識最多。但是,並非所有的投資風險都存在於資產負債表中,遠非如此。一個很好的例子:我們已經發現了一個你應該注意的杭州海康威視數字科技的警告標誌。

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

當然,如果你是那種喜歡在沒有債務負擔的情況下購買股票的投資者,那麼請立即查看我們的獨家淨現金增長股票清單。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

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