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Investors in J&J Snack Foods (NASDAQ:JJSF) Have Unfortunately Lost 12% Over the Last Three Years

Investors in J&J Snack Foods (NASDAQ:JJSF) Have Unfortunately Lost 12% Over the Last Three Years

不幸的是,強生休閒食品(納斯達克股票代碼:JJSF)的投資者在過去三年中損失了12%
Simply Wall St ·  04/22 07:02

As an investor its worth striving to ensure your overall portfolio beats the market average. But its virtually certain that sometimes you will buy stocks that fall short of the market average returns. Unfortunately, that's been the case for longer term J&J Snack Foods Corp. (NASDAQ:JJSF) shareholders, since the share price is down 17% in the last three years, falling well short of the market return of around 12%. In the last ninety days we've seen the share price slide 17%.

作爲投資者,值得努力確保您的整體投資組合超過市場平均水平。但幾乎可以肯定的是,有時候你會買入低於市場平均回報率的股票。不幸的是,強生休閒食品公司(納斯達克股票代碼:JJSF)的長期股東就是這種情況,因爲股價在過去三年中下跌了17%,遠低於12%左右的市場回報率。在過去的九十天裏,我們看到股價下跌了17%。

Since shareholders are down over the longer term, lets look at the underlying fundamentals over the that time and see if they've been consistent with returns.

由於從長遠來看,股東會下跌,讓我們來看看那段時間的潛在基本面,看看它們與回報是否一致。

To quote Buffett, 'Ships will sail around the world but the Flat Earth Society will flourish. There will continue to be wide discrepancies between price and value in the marketplace...' One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).

引用巴菲特的話說:“船隻將在世界各地航行,但Flat Earth Society將蓬勃發展。市場上的價格和價值之間將繼續存在巨大差異...”研究市場情緒如何隨着時間的推移而變化的一種方法是研究公司股價與其每股收益(EPS)之間的相互作用。

Although the share price is down over three years, J&J Snack Foods actually managed to grow EPS by 195% per year in that time. This is quite a puzzle, and suggests there might be something temporarily buoying the share price. Alternatively, growth expectations may have been unreasonable in the past.

儘管股價在三年內下跌,但強生休閒食品實際上設法在那段時間內每年將每股收益增長195%。這真是個難題,表明可能會有一些東西暫時提振股價。或者,過去的增長預期可能不合理。

It's worth taking a look at other metrics, because the EPS growth doesn't seem to match with the falling share price.

值得一看其他指標,因爲每股收益的增長似乎與股價的下跌不符。

We note that, in three years, revenue has actually grown at a 16% annual rate, so that doesn't seem to be a reason to sell shares. This analysis is just perfunctory, but it might be worth researching J&J Snack Foods more closely, as sometimes stocks fall unfairly. This could present an opportunity.

我們注意到,在三年內,收入實際上以16%的年增長率增長,因此這似乎不是出售股票的理由。這種分析只是敷衍了事,但可能值得更仔細地研究強生休閒食品,因爲有時股票會不公平地下跌。這可能帶來機會。

The image below shows how earnings and revenue have tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).

下圖顯示了收入和收入隨時間推移的跟蹤情況(如果您點擊圖片,可以看到更多細節)。

earnings-and-revenue-growth
NasdaqGS:JJSF Earnings and Revenue Growth April 22nd 2024
納斯達克GS:JJSF收益和收入增長 2024年4月22日

It is of course excellent to see how J&J Snack Foods has grown profits over the years, but the future is more important for shareholders. This free interactive report on J&J Snack Foods' balance sheet strength is a great place to start, if you want to investigate the stock further.

看到強生休閒食品多年來如何增加利潤當然是件好事,但未來對股東來說更爲重要。如果你想進一步調查該股,這份關於強生休閒食品資產負債表實力的免費互動報告是一個很好的起點。

What About Dividends?

分紅呢?

As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. In the case of J&J Snack Foods, it has a TSR of -12% for the last 3 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!

除了衡量股價回報率外,投資者還應考慮股東總回報率(TSR)。基於股息再投資的假設,股東總回報率納入了任何分拆或貼現資本籌集的價值以及任何股息。因此,對於支付豐厚股息的公司來說,股東總回報率通常遠高於股價回報率。就強生休閒食品而言,其股東回報率在過去3年中爲-12%。這超過了我們之前提到的其股價回報率。這在很大程度上是其股息支付的結果!

A Different Perspective

不同的視角

While the broader market gained around 21% in the last year, J&J Snack Foods shareholders lost 7.5% (even including dividends). Even the share prices of good stocks drop sometimes, but we want to see improvements in the fundamental metrics of a business, before getting too interested. Regrettably, last year's performance caps off a bad run, with the shareholders facing a total loss of 0.8% per year over five years. We realise that Baron Rothschild has said investors should "buy when there is blood on the streets", but we caution that investors should first be sure they are buying a high quality business. Before spending more time on J&J Snack Foods it might be wise to click here to see if insiders have been buying or selling shares.

儘管去年整體市場上漲了約21%,但強生休閒食品的股東損失了7.5%(甚至包括股息)。即使是優質股票的股價有時也會下跌,但我們希望在過於感興趣之前看到企業基本指標的改善。遺憾的是,去年的業績結束了糟糕的表現,股東在五年內每年面臨0.8%的總虧損。我們意識到羅斯柴爾德男爵曾說過,投資者應該 “在街頭流血時買入”,但我們警告說,投資者應首先確保他們購買的是高質量的企業。在花更多時間購買強生休閒食品之前,明智的做法可能是點擊此處查看內部人士是否在買入或賣出股票。

If you would prefer to check out another company -- one with potentially superior financials -- then do not miss this free list of companies that have proven they can grow earnings.

如果你想看看另一家公司——一家財務狀況可能優異的公司——那麼千萬不要錯過這份已經證明自己可以增加收益的公司的免費名單。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.

請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了目前在美國交易所交易的股票的市場加權平均回報。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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