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Is John B. Sanfilippo & Son (NASDAQ:JBSS) A Risky Investment?

Is John B. Sanfilippo & Son (NASDAQ:JBSS) A Risky Investment?

John B. Sanfilippo & Son(納斯達克股票代碼:JBSS)是一項風險投資嗎?
Simply Wall St ·  04/13 08:06

Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We can see that John B. Sanfilippo & Son, Inc. (NASDAQ:JBSS) does use debt in its business. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

有人說,波動性,而不是債務,是投資者思考風險的最佳方式,但禾倫·巴菲特曾說過一句名言:“波動性遠非風險的代名詞。”當你檢查公司的資產負債表的風險時,考慮它的資產負債表是很自然的,因爲企業倒閉時通常會涉及債務。我們可以看到,約翰·桑菲利波父子公司(納斯達克股票代碼:JBSS)確實在其業務中使用了債務。但真正的問題是這筆債務是否使公司面臨風險。

When Is Debt Dangerous?

債務何時危險?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

債務是幫助企業增長的工具,但是如果企業無法償還貸款人的債務,那麼債務就會任由他們擺佈。如果情況變得非常糟糕,貸款人可以控制業務。但是,更常見(但仍然昂貴)的情況是,公司必須以低廉的股價稀釋股東才能控制債務。當然,債務可以成爲企業的重要工具,尤其是資本密集型企業。在考慮企業使用多少債務時,要做的第一件事就是綜合考慮其現金和債務。

How Much Debt Does John B. Sanfilippo & Son Carry?

John B. Sanfilippo & Son 揹負了多少債務?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of December 2023 John B. Sanfilippo & Son had US$41.0m of debt, an increase on US$33.7m, over one year. On the flip side, it has US$1.98m in cash leading to net debt of about US$39.0m.

你可以點擊下圖查看歷史數字,但它顯示,截至2023年12月,約翰·桑菲利波父子公司在一年內有4,10萬美元的債務,比3370萬美元有所增加。另一方面,它擁有198萬美元的現金,淨負債約爲3,900萬美元。

debt-equity-history-analysis
NasdaqGS:JBSS Debt to Equity History April 13th 2024
NASDAQGS: JBSS 債權與股本比率歷史記錄 2024 年 4 月 13 日

A Look At John B. Sanfilippo & Son's Liabilities

看看 John B. Sanfilippo & Son 的負債

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that John B. Sanfilippo & Son had liabilities of US$128.3m falling due within a year, and liabilities of US$48.9m due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had US$1.98m in cash and US$77.4m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling US$97.8m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

我們可以從最新的資產負債表中看出,約翰·B.Sanfilippo & Son的負債爲1.283億美元,一年後到期的負債爲4,890萬美元。與此相抵消的是,它有198萬美元的現金和7,740萬美元的應收賬款將在12個月內到期。因此,它的負債總額比其現金和短期應收賬款的總和多出9,780萬美元。

Since publicly traded John B. Sanfilippo & Son shares are worth a total of US$1.15b, it seems unlikely that this level of liabilities would be a major threat. Having said that, it's clear that we should continue to monitor its balance sheet, lest it change for the worse.

由於公開交易的John B. Sanfilippo & Son股票的總價值爲11.5億美元,因此這種負債水平似乎不太可能構成重大威脅。話雖如此,很明顯,我們應該繼續監控其資產負債表,以免情況惡化。

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

我們通過以下方法來衡量公司的債務負擔與其盈利能力:將其淨負債除以利息、稅項、折舊和攤銷前的收益(EBITDA),並計算其利息和稅前收益(EBIT)支付利息支出(利息保障)的難易程度。因此,我們將債務與收益的關係考慮在內,包括和不包括折舊和攤銷費用。

John B. Sanfilippo & Son's net debt is only 0.35 times its EBITDA. And its EBIT easily covers its interest expense, being 41.9 times the size. So you could argue it is no more threatened by its debt than an elephant is by a mouse. The good news is that John B. Sanfilippo & Son has increased its EBIT by 6.3% over twelve months, which should ease any concerns about debt repayment. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since John B. Sanfilippo & Son will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

John B. Sanfilippo & Son的淨負債僅爲其息稅折舊攤銷前利潤的0.35倍。而且其息稅前利潤很容易彌補其利息支出,是其規模的41.9倍。因此,你可以爭辯說,它受到債務的威脅並不比大象受到老鼠的威脅更大。好消息是,John B. Sanfilippo & Son在十二個月內將其息稅前利潤增長了6.3%,這應該可以緩解對債務償還的任何擔憂。資產負債表顯然是分析債務時需要關注的領域。但是你不能完全孤立地看待債務;因爲約翰·桑菲利波和兒子需要收入來償還債務。因此,在考慮債務時,絕對值得一看收益趨勢。單擊此處查看交互式快照。

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. Over the most recent three years, John B. Sanfilippo & Son recorded free cash flow worth 71% of its EBIT, which is around normal, given free cash flow excludes interest and tax. This cold hard cash means it can reduce its debt when it wants to.

最後,公司只能用冷硬現金償還債務,不能用會計利潤償還債務。因此,我們顯然需要研究息稅前利潤是否會帶來相應的自由現金流。在最近三年中,鑑於自由現金流不包括利息和稅收,John B. Sanfilippo & Son錄得的自由現金流佔其息稅前利潤的71%,這幾乎是正常的。這種冷硬現金意味着它可以在需要時減少債務。

Our View

我們的觀點

John B. Sanfilippo & Son's interest cover suggests it can handle its debt as easily as Cristiano Ronaldo could score a goal against an under 14's goalkeeper. And that's just the beginning of the good news since its net debt to EBITDA is also very heartening. Zooming out, John B. Sanfilippo & Son seems to use debt quite reasonably; and that gets the nod from us. After all, sensible leverage can boost returns on equity. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example - John B. Sanfilippo & Son has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.

John B. Sanfilippo & Son的利息保障表明,它可以像克里斯蒂亞諾·羅納爾多在對陣14歲以下的守門員的比賽中進球一樣輕鬆地處理債務。這僅僅是好消息的開始,因爲其淨負債佔息稅折舊攤銷前利潤的比例也非常令人鼓舞。縮小規模,John B. Sanfilippo & Son似乎相當合理地使用債務;這得到了我們的點頭。畢竟,合理的槓桿可以提高股本回報率。在分析債務水平時,資產負債表是顯而易見的起點。但是,並非所有的投資風險都存在於資產負債表中,遠非如此。例如-John B. Sanfilippo & Son 有 1 個警告信號,我們認爲你應該注意。

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

畢竟,如果你對一家資產負債表堅如磐石的快速成長型公司更感興趣,那麼請立即查看我們的淨現金增長股票清單。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

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