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Here's Why Reynolds Consumer Products (NASDAQ:REYN) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly

Here's Why Reynolds Consumer Products (NASDAQ:REYN) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly

這就是雷諾茲消費品(納斯達克股票代碼:REYN)可以負責任地管理債務的原因
Simply Wall St ·  03/27 08:52

Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We note that Reynolds Consumer Products Inc. (NASDAQ:REYN) does have debt on its balance sheet. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

霍華德·馬克斯說得好,他說的不是擔心股價的波動,而是 “永久損失的可能性是我擔心的風險... 也是我認識的每位實際投資者所擔心的風險。”因此,當你評估公司的風險時,看來聰明的貨幣知道債務(通常涉及破產)是一個非常重要的因素。我們注意到,雷諾茲消費品公司(納斯達克股票代碼:REYN)的資產負債表上確實有債務。但是這筆債務是股東關心的問題嗎?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

債務何時危險?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

當企業無法通過自由現金流或以誘人的價格籌集資金來輕鬆履行這些義務時,債務和其他負債就會變得有風險。資本主義的重要組成部分是 “創造性破壞” 過程,在這種過程中,倒閉的企業被銀行家無情地清算。但是,更頻繁(但仍然代價高昂)的情況是,公司必須以低廉的價格發行股票,永久稀釋股東,以支撐其資產負債表。當然,債務可以成爲企業的重要工具,尤其是資本密集型企業。當我們研究債務水平時,我們首先要同時考慮現金和債務水平。

What Is Reynolds Consumer Products's Net Debt?

雷諾茲消費品的淨負債是多少?

As you can see below, Reynolds Consumer Products had US$1.83b of debt at December 2023, down from US$2.09b a year prior. However, it does have US$115.0m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about US$1.72b.

如下所示,截至2023年12月,雷諾茲消費品公司的債務爲18.3億美元,低於去年同期的20.9億美元。但是,它確實有1.15億美元的現金抵消了這一點,淨負債約爲17.2億美元。

debt-equity-history-analysis
NasdaqGS:REYN Debt to Equity History March 27th 2024
NASDAQGS: Reyn 債券與股本的比率歷史記錄 2024 年 3 月 27 日

How Strong Is Reynolds Consumer Products' Balance Sheet?

雷諾茲消費品的資產負債表有多強?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Reynolds Consumer Products had liabilities of US$478.0m due within 12 months and liabilities of US$2.32b due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had US$115.0m in cash and US$361.0m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling US$2.32b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

放大最新的資產負債表數據,我們可以看到,雷諾茲消費品公司在12個月內到期的負債爲4.78億美元,之後到期的負債爲23.2億美元。與此相抵消的是,它有1.15億美元的現金和3.61億美元的應收賬款將在12個月內到期。因此,它的負債總額比其現金和短期應收賬款的總和多出23.2億美元。

While this might seem like a lot, it is not so bad since Reynolds Consumer Products has a market capitalization of US$5.96b, and so it could probably strengthen its balance sheet by raising capital if it needed to. But it's clear that we should definitely closely examine whether it can manage its debt without dilution.

儘管這可能看起來很多,但還不錯,因爲雷諾茲消費品公司的市值爲59.6億美元,因此,如果需要,它可能會通過籌集資金來加強資產負債表。但很明顯,我們一定要仔細研究它能否在不稀釋的情況下管理債務。

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

我們使用兩個主要比率來告知我們相對於收益的債務水平。第一個是淨負債除以利息、稅項、折舊和攤銷前的收益(EBITDA),第二個是其利息和稅前收益(EBIT)覆蓋其利息支出(或簡稱利息保障)的多少倍。這樣,我們既考慮債務的絕對數量,也考慮爲債務支付的利率。

Reynolds Consumer Products's debt is 2.7 times its EBITDA, and its EBIT cover its interest expense 4.4 times over. Taken together this implies that, while we wouldn't want to see debt levels rise, we think it can handle its current leverage. On the other hand, Reynolds Consumer Products grew its EBIT by 24% in the last year. If sustained, this growth should make that debt evaporate like a scarce drinking water during an unnaturally hot summer. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Reynolds Consumer Products can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

雷諾茲消費品公司的債務是其息稅折舊攤銷前利潤的2.7倍,其息稅前利潤是其利息支出的4.4倍。總而言之,這意味着,儘管我們不希望看到債務水平上升,但我們認爲它可以承受目前的槓桿率。另一方面,雷諾茲消費品公司的息稅前利潤在去年增長了24%。如果持續下去,這種增長應該使債務在異常炎熱的夏天像稀缺的飲用水一樣蒸發。資產負債表顯然是分析債務時需要關注的領域。但最終,該業務未來的盈利能力將決定雷諾茲消費品公司能否隨着時間的推移加強其資產負債表。因此,如果你想看看專業人士的想法,你可能會發現這份關於分析師利潤預測的免費報告很有趣。

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. Over the most recent three years, Reynolds Consumer Products recorded free cash flow worth 57% of its EBIT, which is around normal, given free cash flow excludes interest and tax. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.

但是我們最終的考慮因素也很重要,因爲公司無法用紙面利潤來償還債務;它需要冷硬現金。因此,值得檢查一下息稅前利潤中有多少是由自由現金流支持的。在最近三年中,雷諾茲消費品公司錄得的自由現金流佔其息稅前利潤的57%,鑑於自由現金流不包括利息和稅收,這幾乎是正常的。這種自由現金流使公司處於有利地位,可以在適當的時候償還債務。

Our View

我們的觀點

When it comes to the balance sheet, the standout positive for Reynolds Consumer Products was the fact that it seems able to grow its EBIT confidently. But the other factors we noted above weren't so encouraging. For instance it seems like it has to struggle a bit handle its debt, based on its EBITDA,. When we consider all the elements mentioned above, it seems to us that Reynolds Consumer Products is managing its debt quite well. Having said that, the load is sufficiently heavy that we would recommend any shareholders keep a close eye on it. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example - Reynolds Consumer Products has 2 warning signs we think you should be aware of.

就資產負債表而言,雷諾茲消費品的最大積極因素是它似乎能夠自信地增長息稅前利潤。但是我們上面提到的其他因素並不那麼令人鼓舞。例如,根據其息稅折舊攤銷前利潤,它似乎不得不努力處理債務。當我們考慮上述所有要素時,在我們看來,雷諾茲消費品公司的債務管理得很好。話雖如此,負擔足夠沉重,我們建議所有股東密切關注。資產負債表顯然是分析債務時需要關注的領域。但是,並非所有的投資風險都存在於資產負債表中,遠非如此。例如-雷諾茲消費品公司有 2 個警告信號,我們認爲您應該注意。

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

如果你有興趣投資能夠在沒有債務負擔的情況下增加利潤的企業,請查看這份資產負債表上有淨現金的成長型企業的免費清單。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

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