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Changshu Guorui Technology Co.,Ltd. (SZSE:300600) Stock Rockets 27% As Investors Are Less Pessimistic Than Expected

Simply Wall St ·  Mar 18 18:03

Those holding Changshu Guorui Technology Co.,Ltd. (SZSE:300600) shares would be relieved that the share price has rebounded 27% in the last thirty days, but it needs to keep going to repair the recent damage it has caused to investor portfolios. Notwithstanding the latest gain, the annual share price return of 6.7% isn't as impressive.

After such a large jump in price, given around half the companies in China's Electrical industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 2.3x, you may consider Changshu Guorui TechnologyLtd as a stock to avoid entirely with its 9.1x P/S ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:300600 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry March 18th 2024

How Has Changshu Guorui TechnologyLtd Performed Recently?

With revenue growth that's exceedingly strong of late, Changshu Guorui TechnologyLtd has been doing very well. It seems that many are expecting the strong revenue performance to beat most other companies over the coming period, which has increased investors' willingness to pay up for the stock. If not, then existing shareholders might be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Changshu Guorui TechnologyLtd will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

Is There Enough Revenue Growth Forecasted For Changshu Guorui TechnologyLtd?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Changshu Guorui TechnologyLtd would need to produce outstanding growth that's well in excess of the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 62% gain to the company's top line. Still, revenue has fallen 43% in total from three years ago, which is quite disappointing. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.

Weighing that medium-term revenue trajectory against the broader industry's one-year forecast for expansion of 23% shows it's an unpleasant look.

With this in mind, we find it worrying that Changshu Guorui TechnologyLtd's P/S exceeds that of its industry peers. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. There's a very good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.

What We Can Learn From Changshu Guorui TechnologyLtd's P/S?

Shares in Changshu Guorui TechnologyLtd have seen a strong upwards swing lately, which has really helped boost its P/S figure. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

Our examination of Changshu Guorui TechnologyLtd revealed its shrinking revenue over the medium-term isn't resulting in a P/S as low as we expected, given the industry is set to grow. When we see revenue heading backwards and underperforming the industry forecasts, we feel the possibility of the share price declining is very real, bringing the P/S back into the realm of reasonability. Unless the the circumstances surrounding the recent medium-term improve, it wouldn't be wrong to expect a a difficult period ahead for the company's shareholders.

Having said that, be aware Changshu Guorui TechnologyLtd is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis, and 1 of those is significant.

If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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