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Ready For A Bull Run? Analyst Says 'Virtuous Investment Cycle' To Propel Stock Market To Record Profits

Ready For A Bull Run? Analyst Says 'Virtuous Investment Cycle' To Propel Stock Market To Record Profits

準備好迎接牛市了嗎?分析師表示 “良性投資週期” 將推動股市創紀錄的利潤
Benzinga ·  03/12 21:42

The stock market is on the verge of a "virtuous investment cycle" that could drive corporate profits to new heights, according to a recent note from Bank of America.

根據美國銀行最近的一份報告,股市正處於 “良性投資週期” 的邊緣,這可能會將企業利潤推向新的高度。

What Happened: Bank of America's strategist Savita Subramanian has suggested that the stock market is about to experience a significant upturn, driven by corporate investments in artificial intelligence (AI). This surge in spending is expected to boost S&P 500 earnings per share, reported Business Insider on Tuesday.

發生了什麼:美國銀行的策略師薩維塔·蘇布拉曼尼安表示,在企業對人工智能(AI)的投資的推動下,股市即將經歷大幅回升。據《商業內幕》週二報道,支出的激增預計將提高標準普爾500指數的每股收益。

Subramanian has revised her 2024 S&P 500 earnings estimate to $250 per share, up from $235. This would represent a 12% year-over-year increase in corporate profits. For 2025, she has forecasted an S&P 500 earnings per share of $275, indicating a 10% year-over-year growth from her 2024 projection.

Subramanian已將2024年標準普爾500指數的每股收益預期從235美元上調至250美元。這將意味着企業利潤同比增長12%。她預測2025年的標準普爾500指數每股收益爲275美元,這表明與2024年的預測相比,同比增長10%。

"We see a potential virtuous cycle forming from AI investments. Semis and networking are the most obvious beneficiaries, but increased power usage and the physical build-out of data centers will lead to more demand for electrification, utilities, commodities, etc," Subramanian said.

“我們看到人工智能投資會形成潛在的良性循環。半導體和網絡是最明顯的受益者,但是用電量的增加和數據中心的物理建設將帶來對電氣化、公用事業、大宗商品等的更多需求,” 蘇布拉曼尼安說。

The recent stock market rally has been largely driven by better-than-expected fourth-quarter earnings. Subramanian believes that this trend will continue as AI technologies become more widely adopted, leading to record profits.

最近的股市上漲主要是由好於預期的第四季度收益推動的。Subramanian認爲,隨着人工智能技術的廣泛採用,這種趨勢將繼續下去,從而帶來創紀錄的利潤。

She pointed out that the initial investments are being made by mega-cap hyperscalers such as Microsoft Corp (NASDAQ:MSFT), Amazon.com Inc (NASDAQ:AMZN), Alphabet Inc (NASDAQ:GOOGL) (NASDAQ:GOOG), and Meta Platforms Inc (NASDAQ:META). These companies are expected to collectively spend $180 billion on capital expenditures this year, a 27% year-over-year increase.

她指出,初始投資是由微軟公司(納斯達克股票代碼:MSFT)、亞馬遜公司(納斯達克股票代碼:AMZN)、Alphabet Inc(納斯達克股票代碼:GOOG)(納斯達克股票代碼:GOOG)和Meta Platforms Inc(納斯達克股票代碼:META)等大型超大規模企業進行的。預計這些公司今年總共將在資本支出上花費1800億美元,同比增長27%。

Subramanian stated, "The $38B YoY increase in capex of represents ~80% of their expected earnings growth YoY – i.e., they're entering a reinvestment cycle."

Subramanian表示:“資本支出同比增長的380億美元約佔其預期收益增長的80%,即他們正在進入再投資週期。”

Why It Matters: Despite ongoing concerns about an AI bubble burst, the Magnificent Seven tech stocks are still considered to be undervalued compared to the wider stock market, according to JPMorgan.

爲何重要:摩根大通稱,儘管人們一直擔心人工智能泡沫的破裂,但與整個股市相比,科技七巨頭股仍被認爲被低估。

However, the era of the Magnificent Seven's dominance in the stock market may be coming to an end, according to an analyst who popularized the label. The fortunes of these stocks have diverged this year, with their collective dominance over the stock market waning.

但是,一位推廣該標籤的分析師表示,壯麗七人組在股市佔據主導地位的時代可能即將結束。這些股票今年的命運出現了分歧,它們在股市中的集體主導地位減弱。

Goldman Sachs has also raised concerns about the increasing concentration of the U.S. stock market and the dominant influence of its largest tech stocks, advising investors to adopt a "barbell approach" to diversify their portfolios.

高盛還對美國股市日益集中及其最大科技股的主導影響力表示擔憂,建議投資者採取 “槓鈴法” 來分散投資組合。

Despite these concerns, some market experts believe that the Magnificent Seven stocks are not in a bubble, citing data points that illustrate the current state of the market.

儘管有這些擔憂,但一些市場專家認爲,科技七巨頭股票並未陷入泡沫,他們援引的數據點說明了市場現狀。

Image Via Shutterstock

圖片來自 Shutterstock

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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