share_log

Airgain, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:AIRG) Shares Leap 28% Yet They're Still Not Telling The Full Story

Simply Wall St ·  Mar 9 08:42

Despite an already strong run, Airgain, Inc. (NASDAQ:AIRG) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 28% in the last thirty days. Longer-term shareholders would be thankful for the recovery in the share price since it's now virtually flat for the year after the recent bounce.

Although its price has surged higher, Airgain's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.9x might still make it look like a buy right now compared to the Electronic industry in the United States, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios above 2x and even P/S above 5x are quite common. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/S.

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqCM:AIRG Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry March 9th 2024

How Airgain Has Been Performing

Recent times haven't been great for Airgain as its revenue has been falling quicker than most other companies. It seems that many are expecting the dismal revenue performance to persist, which has repressed the P/S. So while you could say the stock is cheap, investors will be looking for improvement before they see it as good value. Or at the very least, you'd be hoping the revenue slide doesn't get any worse if your plan is to pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Airgain will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

Is There Any Revenue Growth Forecasted For Airgain?

Airgain's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver limited growth, and importantly, perform worse than the industry.

Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 26%. Regardless, revenue has managed to lift by a handy 16% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the earlier period of growth. So we can start by confirming that the company has generally done a good job of growing revenue over that time, even though it had some hiccups along the way.

Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 12% during the coming year according to the dual analysts following the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to only expand by 3.5%, which is noticeably less attractive.

In light of this, it's peculiar that Airgain's P/S sits below the majority of other companies. Apparently some shareholders are doubtful of the forecasts and have been accepting significantly lower selling prices.

What Does Airgain's P/S Mean For Investors?

Airgain's stock price has surged recently, but its but its P/S still remains modest. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

Airgain's analyst forecasts revealed that its superior revenue outlook isn't contributing to its P/S anywhere near as much as we would have predicted. The reason for this depressed P/S could potentially be found in the risks the market is pricing in. While the possibility of the share price plunging seems unlikely due to the high growth forecasted for the company, the market does appear to have some hesitation.

You always need to take note of risks, for example - Airgain has 2 warning signs we think you should be aware of.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Airgain, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
    Write a comment