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There's Reason For Concern Over Shanghai Sunglow Packaging Technology Co.,Ltd's (SHSE:603499) Massive 38% Price Jump

Simply Wall St ·  Mar 6 17:37

The Shanghai Sunglow Packaging Technology Co.,Ltd (SHSE:603499) share price has done very well over the last month, posting an excellent gain of 38%. Looking back a bit further, it's encouraging to see the stock is up 50% in the last year.

Since its price has surged higher, you could be forgiven for thinking Shanghai Sunglow Packaging TechnologyLtd is a stock to steer clear of with a price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") of 4.1x, considering almost half the companies in China's Packaging industry have P/S ratios below 1.8x. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SHSE:603499 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry March 6th 2024

How Has Shanghai Sunglow Packaging TechnologyLtd Performed Recently?

The revenue growth achieved at Shanghai Sunglow Packaging TechnologyLtd over the last year would be more than acceptable for most companies. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is high because investors think this respectable revenue growth will be enough to outperform the broader industry in the near future. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

Although there are no analyst estimates available for Shanghai Sunglow Packaging TechnologyLtd, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/S?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as steep as Shanghai Sunglow Packaging TechnologyLtd's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the industry decidedly.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company managed to grow revenues by a handy 8.4% last year. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 68% overall rise in revenue, aided somewhat by its short-term performance. Accordingly, shareholders would have definitely welcomed those medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 21% growth in the next 12 months, the company's momentum is weaker, based on recent medium-term annualised revenue results.

With this in mind, we find it worrying that Shanghai Sunglow Packaging TechnologyLtd's P/S exceeds that of its industry peers. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. There's a good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with recent growth rates.

What Does Shanghai Sunglow Packaging TechnologyLtd's P/S Mean For Investors?

The strong share price surge has lead to Shanghai Sunglow Packaging TechnologyLtd's P/S soaring as well. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

Our examination of Shanghai Sunglow Packaging TechnologyLtd revealed its poor three-year revenue trends aren't detracting from the P/S as much as we though, given they look worse than current industry expectations. Right now we aren't comfortable with the high P/S as this revenue performance isn't likely to support such positive sentiment for long. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, it's very challenging to accept these the share price as being reasonable.

Plus, you should also learn about these 3 warning signs we've spotted with Shanghai Sunglow Packaging TechnologyLtd (including 1 which is significant).

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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