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Powell Stresses Need For 'More Data' Before Considering Rate Cuts, Downplays Recession, Commercial Real Estate Risks

Powell Stresses Need For 'More Data' Before Considering Rate Cuts, Downplays Recession, Commercial Real Estate Risks

鮑威爾強調在考慮降息之前需要 “更多數據”,淡化經濟衰退、商業房地產風險
Benzinga ·  03/06 12:12

Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell reiterated Wednesday he would like to have more confidence on inflation moving back sustainably toward the Fed's 2% target before unleashing the policy easing down the road.

聯儲局主席傑羅姆·鮑威爾週三重申,在未來發布寬鬆政策之前,他希望對通貨膨脹率持續回升至聯儲局2%的目標抱有更大的信心。

During a Q&A session with the House Financial Services Committee, Powell highlighted the significant progress made in controlling inflation.

在與衆議院金融服務委員會的問答環節中,鮑威爾強調了在控制通貨膨脹方面取得的重大進展。

"We've made quite good progress on that over just the past year," Powell said, while noting the economy's achievement in nearing 50-year low unemployment rates.

鮑威爾說:“在過去的一年中,我們在這方面取得了相當不錯的進展,” 他同時指出,經濟在接近50年低失業率方面取得了成就。

"We want to see a little bit more data so that we can become confident and so that we can take that step of beginning to reduce policy rates," Powell said.

鮑威爾說:“我們希望看到更多的數據,這樣我們才能變得自信,這樣我們才能採取開始降低政策利率的步驟。”

Powell revealed the number of rate cuts will depend on the evolution of the economy, recalling that the latest Fed's projections indicate a median preference for three rate cuts in 2024.

鮑威爾透露,降息的次數將取決於經濟的演變,他回顧說,聯儲局的最新預測表明,中位數人傾向於在2024年進行三次降息。

Powell Dispels Recession Fears

鮑威爾消除了對經濟衰退的擔憂

Powell dismissed fears of an imminent recession. With last year's growth exceeding 3% and forecasts indicating continued solid growth, Powell said: "There's no reason to think that the U.S. economy is in some kind of short-term risk of falling into recession."

鮑威爾駁斥了對經濟衰退迫在眉睫的擔憂。由於去年的增長超過3%,預測顯示出持續的穩健增長,鮑威爾說:“沒有理由認爲美國經濟面臨陷入衰退的某種短期風險。”

Powell acknowledged there's always a chance that an economy will fall into recession, yet he firmly stated that "the possibility ... is not elevated at the current time."

鮑威爾承認,經濟總是有可能陷入衰退,但他堅定地表示 “這種可能性... 目前還沒有增加。”

Challenges In Commercial Real Estate

商業地產面臨的挑戰

Responding to U.S. Rep. James A. Himes (D-Ct.), Powell tackled the concerns surrounding the commercial real estate market, particularly highlighting the distress caused by excess office supply and changing retail dynamics due to shifts toward remote work.

在回應美國衆議員詹姆斯·希姆斯(D-Ct.)時,鮑威爾談到了圍繞商業房地產市場的擔憂,特別強調了辦公供應過剩和向遠程辦公轉變導致的零售動態變化所造成的困境。

Powell outlined the Fed's proactive measures in engaging with banks that have significant exposures to commercial real estate, ensuring they have robust plans to manage potential losses.

鮑威爾概述了聯儲局在與擁有大量商業房地產敞口的銀行合作方面採取的積極措施,確保它們制定強有力的計劃來管理潛在損失。

"It will be a problem to work through for several years," Powell said, noting the impact is likely to be more pronounced among medium- and small-sized banks rather than the larger institutions.

鮑威爾說:“這將是一個需要解決好幾年的問題,” 他指出,對中小型銀行的影響可能比對大型機構的影響更爲明顯。

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