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We Think Anshan Senyuan Road and Bridge (SZSE:300210) Has A Fair Chunk Of Debt

We Think Anshan Senyuan Road and Bridge (SZSE:300210) Has A Fair Chunk Of Debt

我們認爲鞍山森源路橋(SZSE: 300210)有相當一部分債務
Simply Wall St ·  03/04 18:05

Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We note that Anshan Senyuan Road and Bridge Co., Ltd (SZSE:300210) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

傳奇基金經理李露(由查理·芒格支持)曾經說過:“最大的投資風險不是價格的波動,而是你是否會遭受永久的資本損失。”當我們思考一家公司的風險有多大時,我們總是喜歡考慮其債務的用途,因爲債務過載可能導致破產。我們注意到,鞍山森源路橋股份有限公司(深交所股票代碼:300210)的資產負債表上確實有債務。但更重要的問題是:這筆債務會帶來多大的風險?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

債務會帶來什麼風險?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

債務爲企業提供幫助,直到企業難以用新的資本或自由現金流還清債務。如果情況變得非常糟糕,貸款人可以控制業務。但是,更頻繁(但仍然代價高昂)的情況是,公司必須以低廉的價格發行股票,永久稀釋股東,以支撐其資產負債表。當然,債務的好處是它通常代表廉價資本,尤其是當它用高回報率進行再投資的能力取代了公司的稀釋時。當我們研究債務水平時,我們首先要同時考慮現金和債務水平。

What Is Anshan Senyuan Road and Bridge's Net Debt?

鞍山森源路橋的淨負債是多少?

As you can see below, at the end of September 2023, Anshan Senyuan Road and Bridge had CN¥371.6m of debt, up from CN¥319.3m a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, it also had CN¥14.0m in cash, and so its net debt is CN¥357.6m.

如下所示,截至2023年9月底,鞍山森源路橋的債務爲3.716億元人民幣,高於去年同期的3.193億元人民幣。點擊圖片查看更多細節。但是,它也有1400萬元的現金,因此其淨負債爲3.576億元人民幣。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SZSE:300210 Debt to Equity History March 4th 2024
SZSE: 300210 2024 年 3 月 4 日債務與股本比率的歷史記錄

How Strong Is Anshan Senyuan Road and Bridge's Balance Sheet?

鞍山森源路橋的資產負債表有多強?

The latest balance sheet data shows that Anshan Senyuan Road and Bridge had liabilities of CN¥471.7m due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥67.9m falling due after that. Offsetting this, it had CN¥14.0m in cash and CN¥223.0m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total CN¥302.7m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

最新的資產負債表數據顯示,鞍山森源路橋在一年內到期的負債爲4.717億元人民幣,此後到期的負債爲6,790萬元人民幣。與此相抵消的是,它有1400萬元的現金和2.23億元人民幣的應收賬款將在12個月內到期。因此,其負債總額比其現金和短期應收賬款的總額高出3.027億元人民幣。

Since publicly traded Anshan Senyuan Road and Bridge shares are worth a total of CN¥6.75b, it seems unlikely that this level of liabilities would be a major threat. Having said that, it's clear that we should continue to monitor its balance sheet, lest it change for the worse. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is Anshan Senyuan Road and Bridge's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

由於公開交易的鞍山森源路橋股份總價值爲67.5億元人民幣,因此這種負債水平似乎不太可能構成重大威脅。話雖如此,很明顯,我們應該繼續監控其資產負債表,以免情況惡化。在分析債務水平時,資產負債表是顯而易見的起點。但是,影響未來資產負債表狀況的是鞍山森源路橋的收益。因此,在考慮債務時,絕對值得一看收益趨勢。單擊此處查看交互式快照。

Over 12 months, Anshan Senyuan Road and Bridge made a loss at the EBIT level, and saw its revenue drop to CN¥173m, which is a fall of 18%. We would much prefer see growth.

在過去的12個月中,鞍山森源路橋在息稅前利潤水平上出現虧損,收入下降至1.73億元人民幣,下降了18%。我們更希望看到增長。

Caveat Emptor

Caveat Emptor

While Anshan Senyuan Road and Bridge's falling revenue is about as heartwarming as a wet blanket, arguably its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss is even less appealing. To be specific the EBIT loss came in at CN¥99m. Considering that alongside the liabilities mentioned above does not give us much confidence that company should be using so much debt. So we think its balance sheet is a little strained, though not beyond repair. However, it doesn't help that it burned through CN¥13m of cash over the last year. So to be blunt we think it is risky. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Case in point: We've spotted 3 warning signs for Anshan Senyuan Road and Bridge you should be aware of.

儘管鞍山森源路橋集團收入的下降幾乎像溼毯一樣令人心動,但可以說,其息稅前收益(EBIT)虧損的吸引力更小。具體而言,息稅前利潤虧損爲9900萬元人民幣。考慮到除了上述負債外,我們對公司應該使用如此多的債務沒有太大的信心。因此,我們認爲其資產負債表有些緊張,儘管並非無法修復。但是,去年它消耗了1300萬加元的現金,這無濟於事。因此,坦率地說,我們認爲這是有風險的。毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表中學到的關於債務的知識最多。但歸根結底,每家公司都可以控制資產負債表之外存在的風險。一個很好的例子:我們已經發現了鞍山森源路橋的3個警告標誌,你應該注意了。

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

畢竟,如果你對一家資產負債表堅如磐石的快速成長型公司更感興趣,那麼請立即查看我們的淨現金增長股票清單。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

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