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CLP Holdings Limited's (HKG:2) On An Uptrend But Financial Prospects Look Pretty Weak: Is The Stock Overpriced?

CLP Holdings Limited's (HKG:2) On An Uptrend But Financial Prospects Look Pretty Weak: Is The Stock Overpriced?

中電控股有限公司(HKG: 2)處於上升趨勢,但財務前景看起來相當疲軟:該股定價過高嗎?
Simply Wall St ·  02/27 19:45

CLP Holdings (HKG:2) has had a great run on the share market with its stock up by a significant 10% over the last three months. However, we decided to pay close attention to its weak financials as we are doubtful that the current momentum will keep up, given the scenario. In this article, we decided to focus on CLP Holdings' ROE.

中電控股(HKG: 2)在股票市場上表現良好,其股票在過去三個月中大幅上漲了10%。但是,我們決定密切關注其疲軟的財務狀況,因爲在這種情況下,我們懷疑當前的勢頭能否保持下去。在本文中,我們決定重點關注中電控股的投資回報率。

Return on equity or ROE is an important factor to be considered by a shareholder because it tells them how effectively their capital is being reinvested. In other words, it is a profitability ratio which measures the rate of return on the capital provided by the company's shareholders.

股本回報率或投資回報率是股東需要考慮的重要因素,因爲它可以告訴他們資本再投資的有效性。換句話說,它是衡量公司股東提供的資本回報率的盈利比率。

How Do You Calculate Return On Equity?

你如何計算股本回報率?

The formula for ROE is:

ROE 的公式是:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

股本回報率 = 淨利潤(來自持續經營業務)÷ 股東權益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for CLP Holdings is:

因此,根據上述公式,中電控股的投資回報率爲:

6.8% = HK$7.7b ÷ HK$112b (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2023).

6.8% = 77億港元 ÷ 112億港元(基於截至2023年12月的過去十二個月)。

The 'return' is the income the business earned over the last year. So, this means that for every HK$1 of its shareholder's investments, the company generates a profit of HK$0.07.

“回報” 是企業在過去一年中獲得的收入。因此,這意味着該公司每投資1港元,就會產生0.07港元的利潤。

Why Is ROE Important For Earnings Growth?

爲什麼投資回報率對收益增長很重要?

Thus far, we have learned that ROE measures how efficiently a company is generating its profits. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or "retains" for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Assuming all else is equal, companies that have both a higher return on equity and higher profit retention are usually the ones that have a higher growth rate when compared to companies that don't have the same features.

到目前爲止,我們已經了解到,投資回報率衡量的是公司創造利潤的效率。現在,我們需要評估公司再投資或 “保留” 了多少利潤以用於未來的增長,從而使我們對公司的增長潛力有所了解。假設其他條件都一樣,與功能不相同的公司相比,具有更高股本回報率和更高利潤保留率的公司通常具有更高的增長率。

A Side By Side comparison of CLP Holdings' Earnings Growth And 6.8% ROE

中電控股的收益增長和6.8%的投資回報率的並排比較

On the face of it, CLP Holdings' ROE is not much to talk about. However, given that the company's ROE is similar to the average industry ROE of 6.4%, we may spare it some thought. But then again, CLP Holdings' five year net income shrunk at a rate of 11%. Remember, the company's ROE is a bit low to begin with. So that's what might be causing earnings growth to shrink.

從表面上看,中電控股的投資回報率沒什麼好談的。但是,鑑於該公司的投資回報率與6.4%的行業平均投資回報率相似,我們可以不加思索。但話又說回來,中電控股的五年淨收入萎縮了11%。請記住,公司的投資回報率一開始有點低。因此,這可能導致收益增長萎縮。

Furthermore, even when compared to the industry, which has been shrinking its earnings at a rate of 7.2% over the last few years, we found that CLP Holdings' performance is pretty disappointing, as it suggests that the company has been shrunk its earnings at a rate faster than the industry.

此外,即使與該行業相比,該行業在過去幾年中一直以7.2%的速度萎縮收益,我們也發現中電控股的表現相當令人失望,因爲這表明該公司縮減收益的速度快於該行業。

past-earnings-growth
SEHK:2 Past Earnings Growth February 28th 2024
SEHK: 2 過去的收益增長 2024 年 2 月 28 日

Earnings growth is an important metric to consider when valuing a stock. It's important for an investor to know whether the market has priced in the company's expected earnings growth (or decline). Doing so will help them establish if the stock's future looks promising or ominous. Has the market priced in the future outlook for 2? You can find out in our latest intrinsic value infographic research report.

收益增長是對股票進行估值時要考慮的重要指標。對於投資者來說,重要的是要知道市場是否對公司的預期收益增長(或下降)進行了定價。這樣做將幫助他們確定股票的未來是樂觀還是不祥的。市場對2的未來展望進行了定價嗎?你可以在我們最新的內在價值信息圖研究報告中找到答案。

Is CLP Holdings Using Its Retained Earnings Effectively?

中電控股是否有效地使用了其留存收益?

With a high three-year median payout ratio of 75% (implying that 25% of the profits are retained), most of CLP Holdings' profits are being paid to shareholders, which explains the company's shrinking earnings. With only a little being reinvested into the business, earnings growth would obviously be low or non-existent. You can see the 2 risks we have identified for CLP Holdings by visiting our risks dashboard for free on our platform here.

中電控股的三年派息率中位數很高,爲75%(這意味着保留了25%的利潤),因此中電控股的大部分利潤都支付給了股東,這解釋了該公司收益萎縮的原因。由於只有一小部分被再投資到該業務,收益增長顯然會很低或根本不存在。您可以訪問我們的 2 種中電控股風險,查看我們爲中電控股確定的兩種風險 風險儀表板 在我們的平台上免費使用。

Moreover, CLP Holdings has been paying dividends for at least ten years or more suggesting that management must have perceived that the shareholders prefer dividends over earnings growth. Upon studying the latest analysts' consensus data, we found that the company is expected to keep paying out approximately 67% of its profits over the next three years. However, CLP Holdings' ROE is predicted to rise to 12% despite there being no anticipated change in its payout ratio.

此外,中電控股支付股息已有至少十年或更長時間,這表明管理層一定已經意識到股東更喜歡分紅而不是收益增長。在研究了分析師的最新共識數據後,我們發現該公司預計將在未來三年內繼續支付約67%的利潤。但是,儘管預期派息率沒有變化,但中電控股的投資回報率預計將升至12%。

Summary

摘要

On the whole, CLP Holdings' performance is quite a big let-down. As a result of its low ROE and lack of much reinvestment into the business, the company has seen a disappointing earnings growth rate. That being so, the latest industry analyst forecasts show that the analysts are expecting to see a huge improvement in the company's earnings growth rate. To know more about the latest analysts predictions for the company, check out this visualization of analyst forecasts for the company.

總體而言,中電控股的表現相當令人失望。由於投資回報率低且缺乏對該業務的再投資,該公司的收益增長率令人失望。既然如此,最新的行業分析師預測顯示,分析師預計公司的收益增長率將大幅提高。要詳細了解分析師對公司的最新預測,請查看該公司的分析師預測的可視化。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對這篇文章有反饋嗎?對內容感到擔憂?直接聯繫我們。 或者,給編輯團隊 (at) simplywallst.com 發送電子郵件。
Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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