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AVIC Industry-Finance Holdings (SHSE:600705) Shareholders Have Lost 28% Over 3 Years, Earnings Decline Likely the Culprit

AVIC Industry-Finance Holdings (SHSE:600705) Shareholders Have Lost 28% Over 3 Years, Earnings Decline Likely the Culprit

中航工業金融控股公司(SHSE: 600705)股東在3年內損失了28%,收益下降可能是罪魁禍首
Simply Wall St ·  01/08 23:34

For many investors, the main point of stock picking is to generate higher returns than the overall market. But its virtually certain that sometimes you will buy stocks that fall short of the market average returns. Unfortunately, that's been the case for longer term AVIC Industry-Finance Holdings Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600705) shareholders, since the share price is down 34% in the last three years, falling well short of the market decline of around 21%. The falls have accelerated recently, with the share price down 12% in the last three months. However, one could argue that the price has been influenced by the general market, which is down 7.7% in the same timeframe.

對於許多投資者來說,選股的要點是產生比整個市場更高的回報。但幾乎可以肯定的是,有時候你會買入低於市場平均回報率的股票。不幸的是,中航工業金融控股有限公司(SHSE: 600705)的長期股東就是這種情況,因爲股價在過去三年中下跌了34%,遠低於市場約21%的跌幅。最近跌勢加速,股價在過去三個月中下跌了12%。但是,有人可能會爭辯說,價格受到了大盤的影響,同期股價下跌了7.7%。

With the stock having lost 3.2% in the past week, it's worth taking a look at business performance and seeing if there's any red flags.

由於該股在過去一週下跌了3.2%,值得一看業務表現,看看是否有任何危險信號。

See our latest analysis for AVIC Industry-Finance Holdings

查看我們對中航工業產融控股的最新分析

While the efficient markets hypothesis continues to be taught by some, it has been proven that markets are over-reactive dynamic systems, and investors are not always rational. One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.

儘管一些人繼續教導高效市場假說,但事實證明,市場是反應過度的動態系統,投資者並不總是理性的。評估公司情緒變化的一種有缺陷但合理的方法是將每股收益(EPS)與股價進行比較。

During the three years that the share price fell, AVIC Industry-Finance Holdings' earnings per share (EPS) dropped by 48% each year. This fall in the EPS is worse than the 13% compound annual share price fall. So, despite the prior disappointment, shareholders must have some confidence the situation will improve, longer term. With a P/E ratio of 53.33, it's fair to say the market sees a brighter future for the business.

在股價下跌的三年中,中航工業金融控股公司的每股收益(EPS)每年下降48%。每股收益的下降比13%的複合年股價下跌還要嚴重。因此,儘管此前曾令人失望,但股東必須有一定的信心,從長遠來看,情況會有所改善。市盈率爲53.33,可以公平地說,市場看到了該業務更光明的未來。

The image below shows how EPS has tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).

下圖顯示了 EPS 在一段時間內的跟蹤情況(如果你點擊圖片,你可以看到更多的細節)。

earnings-per-share-growth
SHSE:600705 Earnings Per Share Growth January 9th 2024
SHSE: 600705 每股收益增長 2024 年 1 月 9 日

It's probably worth noting that the CEO is paid less than the median at similar sized companies. It's always worth keeping an eye on CEO pay, but a more important question is whether the company will grow earnings throughout the years. Before buying or selling a stock, we always recommend a close examination of historic growth trends, available here..

可能值得注意的是,首席執行官的薪水低於類似規模公司的中位數。一直值得關注首席執行官的薪酬,但更重要的問題是公司多年來是否會增加收益。在買入或賣出股票之前,我們始終建議仔細研究歷史增長趨勢,可在此處查閱。

What About Dividends?

那股息呢?

As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. In the case of AVIC Industry-Finance Holdings, it has a TSR of -28% for the last 3 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. The dividends paid by the company have thusly boosted the total shareholder return.

除了衡量股價回報率外,投資者還應考慮股東總回報率(TSR)。股東總回報率是一種回報計算方法,它考慮了現金分紅的價值(假設收到的任何股息都經過再投資)以及任何貼現資本籌集和分拆的計算價值。因此,對於支付豐厚股息的公司來說,股東總回報率通常遠高於股價回報率。就中航工業金融控股公司而言,其過去三年的股東總回報率爲-28%。這超過了我們之前提到的其股價回報率。因此,該公司支付的股息提高了 股東回報。

A Different Perspective

不同的視角

While it's never nice to take a loss, AVIC Industry-Finance Holdings shareholders can take comfort that , including dividends,their trailing twelve month loss of 7.4% wasn't as bad as the market loss of around 13%. Unfortunately, last year's performance may indicate unresolved challenges, given that it's worse than the annualised loss of 4% over the last half decade. While some investors do well specializing in buying companies that are struggling (but nonetheless undervalued), don't forget that Buffett said that 'turnarounds seldom turn'. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand AVIC Industry-Finance Holdings better, we need to consider many other factors. Even so, be aware that AVIC Industry-Finance Holdings is showing 4 warning signs in our investment analysis , and 1 of those shouldn't be ignored...

儘管虧損從來都不是一件好事,但中航工業金融控股的股東可以感到安慰的是,包括股息在內,他們過去十二個月的7.4%虧損沒有市場損失13%左右那麼嚴重。不幸的是,去年的表現可能預示着尚未解決的挑戰,因爲它比過去五年中4%的年化虧損還要糟糕。儘管一些投資者在專門收購陷入困境(但仍被低估)的公司方面表現良好,但不要忘記巴菲特說過 “轉機很少會轉機”。長期跟蹤股價表現總是很有意思的。但是,要更好地了解中航工業工業金融控股公司,我們需要考慮許多其他因素。即便如此,請注意,中航工業產融控股在我們的投資分析中顯示出4個警告信號,其中一個不容忽視...

If you are like me, then you will not want to miss this free list of growing companies that insiders are buying.

如果你像我一樣,那麼你不會想錯過這份業內人士正在收購的成長型公司的免費名單。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.

請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了目前在中國交易所交易的股票的市場加權平均回報率。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對這篇文章有反饋嗎?對內容感到擔憂?直接聯繫我們。 或者,給編輯團隊 (at) simplywallst.com 發送電子郵件。
Simply Wall St 的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並非旨在提供財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不會考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。華爾街只是沒有持有上述任何股票的頭寸。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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