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3.9% Earnings Growth Over 3 Years Has Not Materialized Into Gains for Wuxi Rural Commercial BankLtd (SHSE:600908) Shareholders Over That Period

3.9% Earnings Growth Over 3 Years Has Not Materialized Into Gains for Wuxi Rural Commercial BankLtd (SHSE:600908) Shareholders Over That Period

三年內3.9%的收益增長並未轉化爲無錫農村商業銀行有限公司(上海證券交易所代碼:600908)股東在此期間的收益
Simply Wall St ·  2023/10/23 18:52

No-one enjoys it when they lose money on a stock. But it can difficult to make money in a declining market. The Wuxi Rural Commercial Bank Co.,Ltd (SHSE:600908) is down 12% over three years, but the total shareholder return is -2.2% once you include the dividend. That's better than the market which declined 11% over the last three years.

當他們在一隻股票上賠錢時,沒有人喜歡它。但在一個不斷下滑的市場中賺錢可能很困難。這個無錫農村商業銀行股份有限公司(上海證券交易所股票代碼:600908)過去三年下跌了12%,但如果計入股息,總股東回報率為-2.2%。這比過去三年下跌11%的市場要好。

Since Wuxi Rural Commercial BankLtd has shed CN¥559m from its value in the past 7 days, let's see if the longer term decline has been driven by the business' economics.

由於無錫農村商業銀行股份有限公司在過去7天裡市值縮水5.59億元人民幣,讓我們看看長期下跌是否受到了企業經濟的推動。

View our latest analysis for Wuxi Rural Commercial BankLtd

查看我們對無錫農村商業銀行有限公司的最新分析

While the efficient markets hypothesis continues to be taught by some, it has been proven that markets are over-reactive dynamic systems, and investors are not always rational. By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.

雖然有效市場假說繼續被一些人傳授,但事實證明,市場是過度反應的動態系統,投資者並不總是理性的。通過比較每股收益(EPS)和股價隨時間的變化,我們可以感受到投資者對一家公司的態度隨著時間的推移發生了怎樣的變化。

Although the share price is down over three years, Wuxi Rural Commercial BankLtd actually managed to grow EPS by 12% per year in that time. Given the share price reaction, one might suspect that EPS is not a good guide to the business performance during the period (perhaps due to a one-off loss or gain). Or else the company was over-hyped in the past, and so its growth has disappointed.

儘管股價在三年多的時間裡下跌,但無錫農村商業銀行在這段時間裡實際上實現了每股收益12%的增長。考慮到股價的反應,人們可能會懷疑,每股收益不是這段時間內業務表現的良好指南(可能是因為一次性的虧損或收益)。或者,該公司過去被過度炒作,因此其增長令人失望。

It's strange to see such muted share price performance despite sustained growth. Perhaps a clue lies in other metrics. Therefore, we should look at some other metrics to try to understand why the market is disappointed.

在持續增長的情況下,股價表現如此低迷,這是一件奇怪的事情。或許線索存在於其他指標中。因此,我們應該看看其他一些指標,試圖理解為什麼市場會感到失望。

Revenue is actually up 15% over the three years, so the share price drop doesn't seem to hinge on revenue, either. It's probably worth investigating Wuxi Rural Commercial BankLtd further; while we may be missing something on this analysis, there might also be an opportunity.

這三年的營收實際上增長了15%,因此股價下跌似乎也與營收無關。無錫農村商業銀行有限公司可能值得進一步調查;雖然我們在這一分析上可能遺漏了一些東西,但也可能存在機會。

You can see below how earnings and revenue have changed over time (discover the exact values by clicking on the image).

你可以在下面看到收入和收入是如何隨著時間的推移而變化的(點擊圖片可以發現確切的價值)。

earnings-and-revenue-growth
SHSE:600908 Earnings and Revenue Growth October 23rd 2023
上海證交所:600908收益和收入增長2023年10月23日

We know that Wuxi Rural Commercial BankLtd has improved its bottom line lately, but what does the future have in store? So we recommend checking out this free report showing consensus forecasts

我們知道無錫農村商業銀行最近提高了利潤,但未來會是什麼樣子呢?因此,我們建議您查看以下內容免費顯示共識預測的報告

What About Dividends?

那股息呢?

When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. As it happens, Wuxi Rural Commercial BankLtd's TSR for the last 3 years was -2.2%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. The dividends paid by the company have thusly boosted the total shareholder return.

在考察投資回報時,重要的是要考慮到股東總回報(TSR)和股價回報。雖然股價回報只反映股價的變動,但TSR包括股息的價值(假設股息再投資),以及任何折價集資或分拆所帶來的利益。公平地說,TSR為支付股息的股票提供了更完整的圖景。恰好,無錫農村商業銀行過去3年的總回報率為-2.2%,超過了前面提到的股價回報率。該公司支付的股息因此提振了總計股東回報。

A Different Perspective

不同的視角

While it's certainly disappointing to see that Wuxi Rural Commercial BankLtd shares lost 1.7% throughout the year, that wasn't as bad as the market loss of 6.5%. Longer term investors wouldn't be so upset, since they would have made 3%, each year, over five years. In the best case scenario the last year is just a temporary blip on the journey to a brighter future. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for Wuxi Rural Commercial BankLtd that you should be aware of.

雖然看到無錫農村商業銀行股價全年下跌1.7%肯定令人失望,但這並沒有市場6.5%的跌幅那麼糟糕。較長期的投資者不會如此沮喪,因為他們在五年內每年會獲得3%的收益。在最好的情況下,去年只是通向更光明未來的旅途中的一個暫時的轉捩點。雖然值得考慮市場狀況對股價可能產生的不同影響,但還有其他更重要的因素。例如,我們已經確定無錫農村商業銀行有限公司2個警示標誌這一點你應該知道.

If you are like me, then you will not want to miss this free list of growing companies that insiders are buying.

如果你像我一樣,你會的想懷念這一切嗎?免費內部人士正在收購的成長型公司名單.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.

請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了目前在中國交易所交易的股票的市場加權平均回報。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對這篇文章有什麼反饋嗎?擔心內容嗎? 保持聯繫直接與我們聯繫.或者,也可以給編輯組發電子郵件,地址是暗示Wallst.com。
本文由Simply Wall St.撰寫,具有概括性.我們僅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並不打算作為財務建議.它不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮你的目標或你的財務狀況.我們的目標是為您帶來由基本面數據驅動的長期重點分析.請注意,我們的分析可能不會將最新的對價格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考慮在內.Simply Wall St.對上述任何一隻股票都沒有持倉.

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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