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We Think Cassava Sciences (NASDAQ:SAVA) Can Afford To Drive Business Growth

We Think Cassava Sciences (NASDAQ:SAVA) Can Afford To Drive Business Growth

我們認爲木薯科學(納斯達克股票代碼:SAVA)有能力推動業務增長
Simply Wall St ·  2023/10/17 09:38

We can readily understand why investors are attracted to unprofitable companies. For example, although software-as-a-service business Salesforce.com lost money for years while it grew recurring revenue, if you held shares since 2005, you'd have done very well indeed. Having said that, unprofitable companies are risky because they could potentially burn through all their cash and become distressed.

我們很容易理解爲什麼投資者會被無利可圖的公司所吸引。例如,儘管軟件即服務業務Salesforce.com在增加經常性收入的同時虧損了多年,但如果你自2005年以來持有股票,你的表現確實會很好。話雖如此,無利可圖的公司是有風險的,因爲它們可能會耗盡所有現金並陷入困境。

So should Cassava Sciences (NASDAQ:SAVA) shareholders be worried about its cash burn? For the purpose of this article, we'll define cash burn as the amount of cash the company is spending each year to fund its growth (also called its negative free cash flow). Let's start with an examination of the business' cash, relative to its cash burn.

所以應該 木薯科學 納斯達克股票代碼:SAVA)的股東擔心其現金消耗嗎?就本文而言,我們將現金消耗定義爲公司每年爲增長提供資金所花費的現金金額(也稱爲負自由現金流)。讓我們首先檢查一下企業的現金與其現金消耗的關係。

See our latest analysis for Cassava Sciences

查看我們對木薯科學的最新分析

Does Cassava Sciences Have A Long Cash Runway?

Cassava Sciences 的現金流是否很長?

A company's cash runway is calculated by dividing its cash hoard by its cash burn. In June 2023, Cassava Sciences had US$168m in cash, and was debt-free. In the last year, its cash burn was US$77m. So it had a cash runway of about 2.2 years from June 2023. That's decent, giving the company a couple years to develop its business. You can see how its cash balance has changed over time in the image below.

公司的現金儲備是通過將其現金儲備除以現金消耗來計算的。2023年6月,木薯科學公司擁有1.68億美元的現金,並且沒有債務。去年,其現金消耗爲7700萬美元。因此,從2023年6月起,它的現金跑道約爲2.2年。這太不錯了,給了公司幾年的時間來發展業務。您可以在下圖中看到其現金餘額隨着時間的推移而發生了怎樣的變化。

debt-equity-history-analysis
NasdaqCM:SAVA Debt to Equity History October 17th 2023
納斯達克證券交易所:SAVA 債務與股權歷史記錄 2023 年 10 月 17 日

How Is Cassava Sciences' Cash Burn Changing Over Time?

隨着時間的推移,Cassava Sciences的現金消耗量如何變化?

Cassava Sciences didn't record any revenue over the last year, indicating that it's an early stage company still developing its business. So while we can't look to sales to understand growth, we can look at how the cash burn is changing to understand how expenditure is trending over time. With cash burn dropping by 5.2% it seems management feel the company is spending enough to advance its business plans at an appropriate pace. While the past is always worth studying, it is the future that matters most of all. So you might want to take a peek at how much the company is expected to grow in the next few years.

Cassava Sciences去年沒有記錄任何收入,這表明它是一家仍在發展業務的初期公司。因此,儘管我們無法通過銷售來了解增長,但我們可以看看現金消耗是如何變化的,以了解支出隨着時間的推移而呈現的趨勢。隨着現金消耗下降5.2%,管理層似乎認爲該公司的支出足以以適當的速度推進其業務計劃。雖然過去總是值得研究的,但最重要的是未來。因此,你可能想看看該公司在未來幾年內預計將增長多少。

How Easily Can Cassava Sciences Raise Cash?

木薯科學有多容易籌集資金?

While Cassava Sciences is showing a solid reduction in its cash burn, it's still worth considering how easily it could raise more cash, even just to fuel faster growth. Generally speaking, a listed business can raise new cash through issuing shares or taking on debt. Commonly, a business will sell new shares in itself to raise cash and drive growth. By looking at a company's cash burn relative to its market capitalisation, we gain insight on how much shareholders would be diluted if the company needed to raise enough cash to cover another year's cash burn.

儘管Cassava Sciences的現金消耗穩步減少,但仍然值得考慮的是,即使只是爲了推動更快的增長,它也可以輕鬆籌集更多現金。一般而言,上市企業可以通過發行股票或承擔債務來籌集新的現金。通常,企業本身會出售新股以籌集現金和推動增長。通過觀察公司相對於其市值的現金消耗,我們可以深入了解如果公司需要籌集足夠的現金來支付另一年的現金消耗,股東將被稀釋多少。

Cassava Sciences' cash burn of US$77m is about 15% of its US$531m market capitalisation. As a result, we'd venture that the company could raise more cash for growth without much trouble, albeit at the cost of some dilution.

Cassava Sciences的7700萬美元現金消耗約佔其5.31億美元市值的15%。因此,我們冒險該公司可以毫不費力地爲增長籌集更多現金,儘管要付出一些稀釋的代價。

Is Cassava Sciences' Cash Burn A Worry?

Cassava Sciences 的現金消耗令人擔憂嗎?

The good news is that in our view Cassava Sciences' cash burn situation gives shareholders real reason for optimism. One the one hand we have its solid cash burn relative to its market cap, while on the other it can also boast very strong cash runway. While we're the kind of investors who are always a bit concerned about the risks involved with cash burning companies, the metrics we have discussed in this article leave us relatively comfortable about Cassava Sciences' situation. Taking a deeper dive, we've spotted 4 warning signs for Cassava Sciences you should be aware of, and 1 of them is a bit unpleasant.

好消息是,在我們看來,木薯科學的現金消耗情況使股東有真正的理由感到樂觀。一方面,相對於市值,我們有穩健的現金消耗,而另一方面,它也可以擁有非常強勁的現金流。雖然我們是那種總是有點擔心現金消耗公司所涉及的風險的投資者,但我們在本文中討論的指標使我們對木薯科學的情況相對滿意。深入探索,我們發現 木薯科學的 4 個警告信號 你應該意識到,其中一個有點不愉快。

Of course Cassava Sciences may not be the best stock to buy. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying.

當然 木薯科學可能不是最值得購買的股票。所以你可能希望看到這個 免費的 一系列擁有高股本回報率的公司,或者這份內部人士正在買入的股票清單。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St 的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。 我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。 它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本面數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街在上述任何股票中都沒有頭寸。

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