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Reasons to believe in a tempting tech ETF

Reasons to believe in a tempting tech ETF

相信誘人的科技ETF的理由
Benzinga Real-time News ·  2020/09/15 12:24

The darling technology sector took some lumps earlier this month, but consensus wisdom appears to be that was a mere blip and the group will get its groove back if it's not already doing so.

本月早些時候,達林科技板塊遭遇了一些挫折,但普遍的看法似乎是,這只是曇花一現,如果該集團還沒有恢復最佳狀態,它將重新回到最佳狀態。

What Happened

怎麼了

Of course, that would be beneficial to the Direxion Daily Technology Bull 3X Shares (NYSE:TECL), which is one of the premier leveraged plays on the largest sector in the S&P 500.

當然,這將有利於Direxion Daily科技牛市3X股紐約證券交易所代碼:技術),這是標準普爾500指數中最大板塊的主要槓桿交易之一。

TECL tries to deliver triple the daily performance of the Technology Select Sector Index, essentially making the Direxion exchange traded fund a geared play on Apple, Inc. (NASDAQ:AAPL) and Microsoft Corporation (NASDAQ:MSFT) because those stocks combine for over 44% of the Technology Select Sector Index.

Tecl試圖交付將每日業績提高三倍科技精選行業指數(Technology Select Sector Index),實質上使Direxion交易所交易基金(ETF)成為蘋果公司(納斯達克:AAPL)和微軟公司(納斯達克:MSFT)因為這些股票加起來佔科技精選板塊指數的44%以上。

Why It's Important

為什麼它很重要

When the technology sector hits bumps in the road, inevitably, there are calls that the 2000 tech wreck is going to repeat. Should that happen, TECL, predictably, would be a disastrous ETF to be holding. Fortunately, a 2000 sequel isn't brewing.

當科技行業在道路上遇到顛簸時,不可避免的是,2000年的科技災難將會重演。不出所料,如果出現這種情況,Tecl持有的ETF將是一隻災難性的ETF。幸運的是,2000年的續集並沒有醖釀之中。

“When we compare the most recent run-up in IT to its counterpart from 20 years ago, we observe that the current relative outperformance of the sector is much less extreme than during the late 1990s,” notes S&P Dow Jones Indices. “Moreover, the relative volatility of the IT sector was much higher then (December 1996-December 2000) than it is now, with an annualized standard deviation of daily relative returns of 23%—almost two and a half times the current period’s standard deviation of 9.5% (December 2016-August 2020).”

“當我們將IT行業最近的一次上漲與20年前的同行進行比較時,我們觀察到,該行業目前的相對優異表現遠沒有上世紀90年代末那麼極端。”標普道瓊斯指數。“而且,當時(1996年12月-2000年12月)IT行業的相對波動性遠高於現在,每日相對收益的年化標準差為23%--幾乎是本期標準差9.5%(2016年12月-2020年8月)的2.5倍.”

The 2000 bursting of the tech bubble washed out an array of flimsy companies. However, it's not a stretch to say that while the sector won't move up in a straight line, components in TECL's underlying index are far stronger today than they were two decades ago.

2000年科技泡沫的破裂沖走了一批脆弱的公司。然而,可以毫不誇張地説,儘管該板塊不會直線上升,但Tecl基礎指數中的成分股今天比20年前要強勁得多。

What's Next

下一步是什麼?

There is, of course, something to that strength, which is derived in large part from significant economic moats and fortress-like balance sheets. Additionally, that strength can augur well for reduced volatility with TECL.

當然,這種實力也有一定的原因,這在很大程度上來自於重要的經濟護城河和堡壘般的資產負債表。此外,這種強勢可能是Tecl波動性降低的好兆頭。

“In 1999 and the present, IT had a strong tilt toward momentum and high beta and a tilt away from value,” according to S&P Dow Jones. “However, one of the main differences between now and then is that IT currently has much stronger tilts toward quality and low volatility than it did in 1999. This suggests that the companies within the current IT sector are both more profitable and less volatile now than they were 20 years ago.”

根據標普道瓊斯的説法,“在1999年和現在,IT強烈傾向於發展勢頭和高貝塔係數,並偏離價值。”“然而,現在和那時的主要區別之一是,目前,它對質量的傾向性要強得多。與1999年相比,波動性更低。這表明,與20年前相比,目前IT行業的公司利潤更高,波動性也更小。“

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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