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YCIH Green High-Performance Concrete Company Limited's (HKG:1847) 25% Share Price Surge Not Quite Adding Up

YCIH Green High-Performance Concrete Company Limited's (HKG:1847) 25% Share Price Surge Not Quite Adding Up

YCIH Green 高性能混凝土有限公司 (HKG: 1847) 25% 的股價上漲幅度不大
Simply Wall St ·  2023/09/06 18:06

YCIH Green High-Performance Concrete Company Limited (HKG:1847) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a 25% gain and recovering from prior weakness. Looking further back, the 11% rise over the last twelve months isn't too bad notwithstanding the strength over the last 30 days.

YCIH格林高性能混凝土有限公司(HKG:1847)股東將會興奮地看到,股價在一個月內表現出色,上漲了25%,並從之前的疲軟中恢復過來。再往前看,過去12個月11%的漲幅並不算太糟糕,儘管過去30天的漲勢很強勁。

Although its price has surged higher, you could still be forgiven for feeling indifferent about YCIH Green High-Performance Concrete's P/S ratio of 0.2x, since the median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio for the Basic Materials industry in Hong Kong is also close to 0.5x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/S.

儘管其價格飆升,但你仍然可以原諒YCIH綠色高性能混凝土的P/S比率為0.2倍,因為香港基礎材料行業的中位數價格與銷售額(或“P/S”)比率也接近0.5倍。然而,如果本益比沒有理性基礎,投資者可能會忽視一個明顯的機會或潛在的挫折。

Check out our latest analysis for YCIH Green High-Performance Concrete

查看我們對YCIH綠色高性能混凝土的最新分析

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SEHK:1847 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry September 6th 2023
聯交所:1847市售比率與行業2023年9月6日

How YCIH Green High-Performance Concrete Has Been Performing

YCIH綠色高性能混凝土的表現

For example, consider that YCIH Green High-Performance Concrete's financial performance has been poor lately as its revenue has been in decline. It might be that many expect the company to put the disappointing revenue performance behind them over the coming period, which has kept the P/S from falling. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

例如,考慮到YCIH綠色高性能混凝土最近的財務表現一直不佳,因為其收入一直在下降。許多人可能預計,該公司在未來一段時間內將把令人失望的營收表現拋在腦後,這讓本益比/S指數沒有下跌。如果不是,那麼現有股東可能會對股價的生存能力感到有點緊張。

Although there are no analyst estimates available for YCIH Green High-Performance Concrete, take a look at this
儘管沒有分析師對YCIH Green高性能混凝土的估計,但看看這個
free
免費
data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.
豐富的數據可視化,看看公司的收益、收入和現金流是如何堆積的。

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The P/S Ratio?

收入預測是否與本益比匹配?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should be matching the industry for P/S ratios like YCIH Green High-Performance Concrete's to be considered reasonable.

有一個固有的假設,即一家公司應該在P/S比與行業一致的情況下,如YCIH綠色高性能混凝土被認為是合理的。

Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 12%. This means it has also seen a slide in revenue over the longer-term as revenue is down 58% in total over the last three years. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenue over that time.

首先回顧一下,該公司去年的收入增長並不令人興奮,因為它公佈了令人失望的12%的下降。這意味著它的長期營收也出現了下滑,因為過去三年的總營收下降了58%。因此,不幸的是,我們不得不承認,在這段時間裡,該公司在收入增長方面做得並不出色。

This is in contrast to the rest of the industry, which is expected to decline by 0.1% over the next year, or less than the company's recent medium-term annualised revenue decline.

這與其他行業形成對比,預計未來一年行業將下降0.1%,或小於該公司最近公佈的中期年化營收降幅。

In light of this, it's somewhat peculiar that YCIH Green High-Performance Concrete's P/S sits in line with the majority of other companies. In general, when revenue shrink rapidly the P/S often shrinks too, which could set up shareholders for future disappointment. Maintaining these prices will be difficult to achieve as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh down the shares eventually.

有鑒於此,YCIH Green高性能混凝土的P/S與大多數其他公司坐在一起就有點奇怪了。總體而言,當營收迅速縮水時,本益比通常也會縮水,這可能會讓股東們對未來感到失望。維持這些價格將很難實現,因為最近的收入趨勢可能最終會拖累股價。

The Final Word

最後的結論

YCIH Green High-Performance Concrete appears to be back in favour with a solid price jump bringing its P/S back in line with other companies in the industry Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

YCIH綠色高性能混凝土似乎重新受到青睞,價格穩步上漲,使其本益比/S與行業內其他公司保持一致。一般來說,我們傾向於將市銷率的使用限制在確定市場對公司整體健康狀況的看法上。

Our examination of YCIH Green High-Performance Concrete revealed its sharp three-year contraction in revenue isn't impacting its P/S as much as we would have predicted, given the industry is set to shrink less severely. Right now we are uncomfortable with the P/S as this revenue performance isn't likely to support a more positive sentiment for long. We're also cautious about the company's ability to stay its recent medium-term course and resist even greater pain to its business from the broader industry turmoil. Unless the company's relative performance improves, it's challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.

我們對YCIH Green高性能混凝土的調查顯示,考慮到該行業的收縮將不會那麼嚴重,該公司連續三年收入的急劇萎縮對其本益比/S的影響並不像我們預測的那麼大。目前,我們對本益比/S感到不舒服,因為這種收入表現不太可能長期支持更積極的情緒。我們還對該公司能否保持近期的中期走勢,以及抵禦更廣泛行業動盪給其業務帶來的更大痛苦的能力持謹慎態度。除非該公司的相對業績有所改善,否則很難接受這些價格是合理的。

You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 3 warning signs for YCIH Green High-Performance Concrete you should be aware of, and 2 of them are a bit concerning.

你應該時刻考慮風險。舉個例子,我們發現YCIH綠色高性能混凝土的3個警示標誌你應該知道,其中有兩個有點令人擔憂。

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on YCIH Green High-Performance Concrete, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

如果這些風險讓你重新考慮你對YCIH綠色高性能混凝土的看法,探索我們的高質量股票互動列表,以瞭解還有什麼。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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本文由Simply Wall St.撰寫,具有概括性.我們僅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並不打算作為財務建議.它不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮你的目標或你的財務狀況.我們的目標是為您帶來由基本面數據驅動的長期重點分析.請注意,我們的分析可能不會將最新的對價格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考慮在內.Simply Wall St.對上述任何一隻股票都沒有持倉.

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