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Is Guangdong Champion Asia ElectronicsLtd (SHSE:603386) Using Too Much Debt?

Is Guangdong Champion Asia ElectronicsLtd (SHSE:603386) Using Too Much Debt?

廣東冠亞電子有限公司(上海證券交易所代碼:603386)是否使用了過多的債務?
Simply Wall St ·  2023/08/31 19:03

Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. As with many other companies Guangdong Champion Asia Electronics Co.,Ltd. (SHSE:603386) makes use of debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

一些人說,作為投資者,考慮風險的最佳方式是波動性,而不是債務,但巴菲特曾說過一句名言:波動性遠非風險的同義詞。當我們考慮一家公司的風險有多大時,我們總是喜歡看它對債務的使用,因為債務過重可能導致破產。與許多其他公司一樣廣東冠軍亞洲電子有限公司。(上海證券交易所:603386)利用債務。但真正的問題是,這筆債務是否讓該公司面臨風險。

When Is Debt A Problem?

什麼時候債務是個問題?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

債務幫助企業,直到企業難以償還債務,無論是用新資本還是用自由現金流。資本主義的一部分是“創造性破壞”的過程,破產的企業被銀行家無情地清算。儘管這並不常見,但我們確實經常看到負債累累的公司永久性地稀釋股東的權益,因為貸款人迫使他們以令人沮喪的價格籌集資金。然而,通過取代稀釋,對於需要資本投資於高回報率增長的企業來說,債務可以成為一個非常好的工具。當我們考慮一家公司的債務用途時,我們首先會把現金和債務放在一起看。

Check out our latest analysis for Guangdong Champion Asia ElectronicsLtd

查看我們對廣東冠軍亞洲電子有限公司的最新分析

What Is Guangdong Champion Asia ElectronicsLtd's Net Debt?

廣東冠軍亞洲電子有限公司的淨債務是多少?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of June 2023 Guangdong Champion Asia ElectronicsLtd had CN¥967.5m of debt, an increase on CN¥759.0m, over one year. However, it does have CN¥127.2m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about CN¥840.4m.

你可以點擊下圖查看歷史數據,但它顯示,截至2023年6月,廣東冠軍亞洲電子有限公司的債務為9.675億元人民幣,比一年前增加了7.59億元人民幣。然而,它確實有1.272億加元的現金抵消了這一點,導致淨債務約為8.404億加元。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SHSE:603386 Debt to Equity History August 31st 2023
上證綜指:603386債轉股歷史2023年8月31日

How Strong Is Guangdong Champion Asia ElectronicsLtd's Balance Sheet?

廣東冠軍亞洲電子有限公司的資產負債表有多強勁?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Guangdong Champion Asia ElectronicsLtd had liabilities of CN¥1.75b due within 12 months and liabilities of CN¥387.2m due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had CN¥127.2m in cash and CN¥803.9m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CN¥1.21b.

放大最新的資產負債表數據,我們可以看到,廣東冠軍亞洲電子有限公司有17.5億加元的負債在12個月內到期,還有3.872億加元的負債在12個月內到期。作為抵消,它有1.272億加元的現金和8.039億加元的應收賬款在12個月內到期。因此,它的負債超過了現金和(近期)應收賬款的總和12.1億元。

This deficit isn't so bad because Guangdong Champion Asia ElectronicsLtd is worth CN¥3.81b, and thus could probably raise enough capital to shore up its balance sheet, if the need arose. But we definitely want to keep our eyes open to indications that its debt is bringing too much risk.

這一赤字並不是那麼糟糕,因為廣東冠軍亞洲電子有限公司價值人民幣38.1億元,因此如果需要的話,可能會籌集到足夠的資本來支撐其資產負債表。但我們肯定希望密切關注其債務帶來太大風險的跡象。

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

我們使用兩個主要比率來告知我們債務相對於收益的水準。第一個是淨債務除以利息、稅項、折舊和攤銷前收益(EBITDA),第二個是其息稅前收益(EBIT)覆蓋其利息支出(或簡稱利息覆蓋)的多少倍。這種方法的優點是,我們既考慮了債務的絕對數量(淨債務與EBITDA之比),也考慮了與債務相關的實際利息支出(及其利息覆蓋率)。

With net debt to EBITDA of 2.7 Guangdong Champion Asia ElectronicsLtd has a fairly noticeable amount of debt. But the high interest coverage of 7.7 suggests it can easily service that debt. Notably Guangdong Champion Asia ElectronicsLtd's EBIT was pretty flat over the last year. Ideally it can diminish its debt load by kick-starting earnings growth. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is Guangdong Champion Asia ElectronicsLtd's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

廣東冠軍亞洲電子有限公司的淨債務與EBITDA之比為2.7,其債務數額相當可觀。但7.7%的高利息覆蓋率表明,它可以輕鬆償還這筆債務。值得注意的是,廣東冠軍亞洲電子有限公司去年的息稅前利潤相當持平。理想情況下,它可以通過啟動盈利增長來減輕債務負擔。在分析債務水準時,資產負債表顯然是一個起點。但廣東冠軍亞洲電子有限公司的收益將影響未來資產負債表的表現。因此,當考慮債務時,絕對值得關注收益趨勢。點擊此處查看互動快照。

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. In the last three years, Guangdong Champion Asia ElectronicsLtd basically broke even on a free cash flow basis. Some might say that's a concern, when it comes considering how easily it would be for it to down debt.

最後,儘管稅務人員可能喜歡會計利潤,但貸款人只接受冷硬現金。因此,我們顯然需要看看息稅前利潤是否會帶來相應的自由現金流。在過去的三年裡,廣東冠軍亞洲電子有限公司在自由現金流的基礎上基本實現了盈虧平衡。一些人可能會說,這是一個令人擔憂的問題,因為考慮到它降低債務是多麼容易。

Our View

我們的觀點

Guangdong Champion Asia ElectronicsLtd's struggle to convert EBIT to free cash flow had us second guessing its balance sheet strength, but the other data-points we considered were relatively redeeming. For example, its interest cover is relatively strong. Taking the abovementioned factors together we do think Guangdong Champion Asia ElectronicsLtd's debt poses some risks to the business. So while that leverage does boost returns on equity, we wouldn't really want to see it increase from here. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Guangdong Champion Asia ElectronicsLtd (of which 1 doesn't sit too well with us!) you should know about.

廣東冠軍亞洲電子有限公司難以將息稅前利潤轉換為自由現金流,這讓我們再次猜測其資產負債表的實力,但我們考慮的其他數據點相對較好。例如,它的利息覆蓋率相對較強。綜合上述因素,我們確實認為廣東冠軍亞洲電子有限公司的債務對業務構成了一些風險。因此,儘管槓桿率確實提高了股本回報率,但我們並不真的希望看到它從現在開始增加。毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表中瞭解到的債務最多。但歸根結底,每家公司都可能包含存在於資產負債表之外的風險。這些風險可能很難發現。每家公司都有它們,我們已經發現廣東冠軍亞洲電子有限公司的2個警告標誌(其中1個與我們坐在一起不太好!)你應該知道。

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

如果你對一家增長迅速、資產負債表堅如磐石的公司更感興趣,那麼請立即查看我們的淨現金成長型股票清單。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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本文由Simply Wall St.撰寫,具有概括性.我們僅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並不打算作為財務建議.它不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮你的目標或你的財務狀況.我們的目標是為您帶來由基本面數據驅動的長期重點分析.請注意,我們的分析可能不會將最新的對價格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考慮在內.Simply Wall St.對上述任何一隻股票都沒有持倉.

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