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What BGMC International Limited's (HKG:1693) 29% Share Price Gain Is Not Telling You

What BGMC International Limited's (HKG:1693) 29% Share Price Gain Is Not Telling You

BGMC International Limited (HKG: 1693) 29% 的股價漲幅沒有告訴你什麼
Simply Wall St ·  2023/08/10 18:23

BGMC International Limited (HKG:1693) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 29% gain in the last month alone. Longer-term shareholders would be thankful for the recovery in the share price since it's now virtually flat for the year after the recent bounce.

BGMC國際有限公司(HKG:1693)僅在過去一個月,股價就延續了近期的勢頭,上漲了29%。較長期的股東將對股價的回升感到欣慰,因為在最近的反彈之後,股價在一年內幾乎持平。

Even after such a large jump in price, there still wouldn't be many who think BGMC International's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.6x is worth a mention when the median P/S in Hong Kong's Construction industry is similar at about 0.4x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/S.

即使在價格如此大幅上漲之後,也不會有很多人認為華大國際0.6倍的市售比(P/S)值得一提,而香港建築業的P/S中值約為0.4倍。然而,如果本益比沒有理性基礎,投資者可能會忽視一個明顯的機會或潛在的挫折。

Check out our latest analysis for BGMC International

查看我們對BGMC International的最新分析

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SEHK:1693 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry August 10th 2023
聯交所:1693市售比率與行業2023年8月10日

What Does BGMC International's Recent Performance Look Like?

BGMC International近期的表現如何?

For example, consider that BGMC International's financial performance has been poor lately as its revenue has been in decline. Perhaps investors believe the recent revenue performance is enough to keep in line with the industry, which is keeping the P/S from dropping off. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

例如,考慮到BGMC International最近的財務表現一直很差,因為它的收入一直在下降。或許投資者認為,最近的營收表現足以與行業保持一致,這讓本益比/S指數不會下跌。如果不是,那麼現有股東可能會對股價的生存能力感到有點緊張。

Although there are no analyst estimates available for BGMC International, take a look at this
儘管沒有分析師對BGMC International的估計,但看看這個
free
免費
data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.
豐富的數據可視化,看看公司的收益、收入和現金流是如何堆積的。

How Is BGMC International's Revenue Growth Trending?

華為國際的收入增長趨勢如何?

The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/S like BGMC International's is when the company's growth is tracking the industry closely.

唯一能讓你放心地看到寶潔國際這樣的P/S的時候,就是該公司的發展正在密切跟蹤該行業的時候。

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 42% decrease to the company's top line. This means it has also seen a slide in revenue over the longer-term as revenue is down 64% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.

回顧過去一年,該公司的營收令人沮喪地下降了42%。這意味著它的長期營收也出現了下滑,因為過去三年的總營收下降了64%。因此,股東們會對中期營收增長率感到悲觀。

In contrast to the company, the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 16% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term revenue decline into perspective.

與該公司形成鮮明對比的是,該行業其他業務預計明年將增長16%,這確實讓人對該公司最近的中期收入下降有了正確的認識。

With this information, we find it concerning that BGMC International is trading at a fairly similar P/S compared to the industry. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh on the share price eventually.

根據這一資訊,我們發現,與行業相比,華大基因國際的本益比/S相當接近。似乎大多數投資者都忽視了最近糟糕的增長率,並希望該公司的業務前景有所好轉。只有最大膽的人才會認為這些價格是可持續的,因為最近收入趨勢的延續最終可能會拖累股價。

What We Can Learn From BGMC International's P/S?

我們可以從華美國際的P/S那裡學到什麼?

Its shares have lifted substantially and now BGMC International's P/S is back within range of the industry median. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

它的股價已經大幅上漲,現在華為國際的本益比S回到了行業中值的範圍內。僅僅用市銷率來決定你是否應該出售你的股票是不明智的,但它可以成為公司未來前景的實用指南。

We find it unexpected that BGMC International trades at a P/S ratio that is comparable to the rest of the industry, despite experiencing declining revenues during the medium-term, while the industry as a whole is expected to grow. Even though it matches the industry, we're uncomfortable with the current P/S ratio, as this dismal revenue performance is unlikely to support a more positive sentiment for long. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at risk and potential investors in danger of paying an unnecessary premium.

我們發現,儘管在中期經歷了收入下降,而整個行業預計會增長,但華潤國際的本益比與S的本益比相當,這是意想不到的。儘管它與行業相符,但我們對當前的本益比/S比率感到不安,因為這種慘淡的營收表現不太可能長期支持更積極的情緒。如果近期的中期營收趨勢持續下去,將使股東的投資面臨風險,潛在投資者面臨支付不必要溢價的危險。

You need to take note of risks, for example - BGMC International has 3 warning signs (and 2 which are concerning) we think you should know about.

你需要注意風險,例如-BGMC國際有3個警告信號(和2個相關的)我們認為你應該知道。

If you're unsure about the strength of BGMC International's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

如果你.不確定BGMC International的業務實力,為什麼不探索我們的互動列表,為其他一些你可能沒有達到預期的公司提供堅實的商業基本面。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對這篇文章有什麼反饋嗎?擔心內容嗎? 保持聯繫直接與我們聯繫.或者,也可以給編輯組發電子郵件,地址是暗示Wallst.com。
本文由Simply Wall St.撰寫,具有概括性.我們僅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並不打算作為財務建議.它不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮你的目標或你的財務狀況.我們的目標是為您帶來由基本面數據驅動的長期重點分析.請注意,我們的分析可能不會將最新的對價格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考慮在內.Simply Wall St.對上述任何一隻股票都沒有持倉.

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