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Here's Why We Think MGP Ingredients (NASDAQ:MGPI) Is Well Worth Watching

Simply Wall St ·  Oct 11, 2022 08:20

For beginners, it can seem like a good idea (and an exciting prospect) to buy a company that tells a good story to investors, even if it currently lacks a track record of revenue and profit. Unfortunately, these high risk investments often have little probability of ever paying off, and many investors pay a price to learn their lesson. While a well funded company may sustain losses for years, it will need to generate a profit eventually, or else investors will move on and the company will wither away.

Despite being in the age of tech-stock blue-sky investing, many investors still adopt a more traditional strategy; buying shares in profitable companies like MGP Ingredients (NASDAQ:MGPI). Even if this company is fairly valued by the market, investors would agree that generating consistent profits will continue to provide MGP Ingredients with the means to add long-term value to shareholders.

View our latest analysis for MGP Ingredients

How Quickly Is MGP Ingredients Increasing Earnings Per Share?

If you believe that markets are even vaguely efficient, then over the long term you'd expect a company's share price to follow its earnings per share (EPS) outcomes. So it makes sense that experienced investors pay close attention to company EPS when undertaking investment research. Shareholders will be happy to know that MGP Ingredients' EPS has grown 34% each year, compound, over three years. As a general rule, we'd say that if a company can keep up that sort of growth, shareholders will be beaming.

One way to double-check a company's growth is to look at how its revenue, and earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) margins are changing. EBIT margins for MGP Ingredients remained fairly unchanged over the last year, however the company should be pleased to report its revenue growth for the period of 51% to US$734m. That's a real positive.

You can take a look at the company's revenue and earnings growth trend, in the chart below. Click on the chart to see the exact numbers.

earnings-and-revenue-historyNasdaqGS:MGPI Earnings and Revenue History October 11th 2022

Fortunately, we've got access to analyst forecasts of MGP Ingredients' future profits. You can do your own forecasts without looking, or you can take a peek at what the professionals are predicting.

Are MGP Ingredients Insiders Aligned With All Shareholders?

Insider interest in a company always sparks a bit of intrigue and many investors are on the lookout for companies where insiders are putting their money where their mouth is. That's because insider buying often indicates that those closest to the company have confidence that the share price will perform well. However, small purchases are not always indicative of conviction, and insiders don't always get it right.

Although we did see some insider selling (worth US$558k) this was overshadowed by a mountain of buying, totalling US$2.9m in just one year. This adds to the interest in MGP Ingredients because it suggests that those who understand the company best, are optimistic. It is also worth noting that it was Director Donn Lux who made the biggest single purchase, worth US$841k, paying US$86.18 per share.

The good news, alongside the insider buying, for MGP Ingredients bulls is that insiders (collectively) have a meaningful investment in the stock. Notably, they have an enviable stake in the company, worth US$455m. This totals to 20% of shares in the company. Enough to lead management's decision making process down a path that brings the most benefit to shareholders. Very encouraging.

While insiders already own a significant amount of shares, and they have been buying more, the good news for ordinary shareholders does not stop there. The cherry on top is that the CEO, Dave Colo is paid comparatively modestly to CEOs at similar sized companies. For companies with market capitalisations between US$1.0b and US$3.2b, like MGP Ingredients, the median CEO pay is around US$5.6m.

MGP Ingredients offered total compensation worth US$3.4m to its CEO in the year to December 2021. That seems pretty reasonable, especially given it's below the median for similar sized companies. CEO remuneration levels are not the most important metric for investors, but when the pay is modest, that does support enhanced alignment between the CEO and the ordinary shareholders. It can also be a sign of a culture of integrity, in a broader sense.

Is MGP Ingredients Worth Keeping An Eye On?

For growth investors, MGP Ingredients' raw rate of earnings growth is a beacon in the night. Not only that, but we can see that insiders both own a lot of, and are buying more shares in the company. So it's fair to say that this stock may well deserve a spot on your watchlist. You still need to take note of risks, for example - MGP Ingredients has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.

There are plenty of other companies that have insiders buying up shares. So if you like the sound of MGP Ingredients, you'll probably love this free list of growing companies that insiders are buying.

Please note the insider transactions discussed in this article refer to reportable transactions in the relevant jurisdiction.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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