Shanghai Gench Education Group Limited (HKG:1525) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a 29% gain and recovering from prior weakness. Unfortunately, the gains of the last month did little to right the losses of the last year with the stock still down 34% over that time.
Even after such a large jump in price, you could still be forgiven for feeling indifferent about Shanghai Gench Education Group's P/E ratio of 7.8x, since the median price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio in Hong Kong is also close to 9x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/E without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.
While the market has experienced earnings growth lately, Shanghai Gench Education Group's earnings have gone into reverse gear, which is not great. It might be that many expect the dour earnings performance to strengthen positively, which has kept the P/E from falling. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.
See our latest analysis for Shanghai Gench Education Group
SEHK:1525 Price Based on Past Earnings July 6th 2022 Keen to find out how analysts think Shanghai Gench Education Group's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our
free report is a great place to start.
What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The P/E?
The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/E like Shanghai Gench Education Group's is when the company's growth is tracking the market closely.
If we review the last year of earnings, dishearteningly the company's profits fell to the tune of 8.1%. That put a dampener on the good run it was having over the longer-term as its three-year EPS growth is still a noteworthy 19% in total. So we can start by confirming that the company has generally done a good job of growing earnings over that time, even though it had some hiccups along the way.
Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 20% per annum as estimated by the one analyst watching the company. With the market only predicted to deliver 15% each year, the company is positioned for a stronger earnings result.
With this information, we find it interesting that Shanghai Gench Education Group is trading at a fairly similar P/E to the market. Apparently some shareholders are skeptical of the forecasts and have been accepting lower selling prices.
What We Can Learn From Shanghai Gench Education Group's P/E?
Shanghai Gench Education Group appears to be back in favour with a solid price jump getting its P/E back in line with most other companies. Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
We've established that Shanghai Gench Education Group currently trades on a lower than expected P/E since its forecast growth is higher than the wider market. When we see a strong earnings outlook with faster-than-market growth, we assume potential risks are what might be placing pressure on the P/E ratio. It appears some are indeed anticipating earnings instability, because these conditions should normally provide a boost to the share price.
It is also worth noting that we have found 1 warning sign for Shanghai Gench Education Group that you need to take into consideration.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Shanghai Gench Education Group, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
上海根奇教育集團有限公司(HKG:1525)股東將會興奮地看到,股價在一個月內表現出色,上漲了29%,並從之前的疲軟中恢復過來。不幸的是,上個月的收益幾乎沒有彌補去年的損失,在此期間,該股仍下跌了34%。
即使在股價如此大幅上漲之後,你對上海根奇教育集團7.8倍的市盈率無動於衷也是情有可原的,因為香港的市盈率中值也接近9倍。儘管如此,在沒有解釋的情況下簡單地忽視市盈率是不明智的,因為投資者可能會忽視一個獨特的機會或代價高昂的錯誤。
雖然市場最近經歷了盈利增長,但上海根奇教育集團的盈利卻出現了逆轉,這並不是很好。這可能是因為許多人預計黯淡的盈利表現將積極增強,這阻止了市盈率的下降。如果不是,那麼現有股東可能會對股價的生存能力感到有點緊張。
查看我們對上海堅奇教育集團的最新分析
聯交所:1525基於過去收益的價格2022年7月6日渴望瞭解分析師如何看待上海根奇教育集團的未來與行業?那樣的話,我們的
免費報告是一個很好的起點。
增長指標告訴我們關於市盈率的哪些信息?
只有當上海堅奇教育集團的增長密切跟蹤市場時,你才會放心地看到該公司的市盈率。
如果我們回顧去年的收益,令人沮喪的是,該公司的利潤下降了8.1%。這給該公司較長期的良好運行帶來了抑制,因為其三年每股收益增長仍高達值得注意的19%。因此,我們可以從確認該公司在這段時間內總體上在收益增長方面做得很好開始,儘管在此過程中出現了一些小問題。
談到前景,據一位關注該公司的分析師估計,未來三年應該會產生每年20%的增長。由於市場預計每年只有15%的增長,該公司將迎來更強勁的收益結果。
有了這些信息,我們發現有趣的是,上海根奇教育集團的市盈率與市場相當相似。顯然,一些股東對這些預測持懷疑態度,並一直在接受較低的售價。
上海堅奇教育集團的市盈率能給我們什麼啟示?
上海根奇教育集團似乎再次受到青睞,股價穩步上漲,使其市盈率恢復到與大多數其他公司的水平。僅僅用市盈率來決定你是否應該出售你的股票是不明智的,但它可以成為公司未來前景的實用指南。
我們已經確定,上海根奇教育集團目前的市盈率低於預期,因為其預期增長高於大盤。當我們看到強勁的盈利前景和高於市場的增長時,我們認為潛在的風險可能會給市盈率帶來壓力。一些人似乎確實預計到了收益的不穩定,因為這些狀況通常應該會提振股價。
同樣值得注意的是,我們發現上海根奇教育集團的1個警示標誌這是你需要考慮的。
如果這些風險讓你重新考慮對上海根奇教育集團的看法,探索我們的高質量股票互動列表,以瞭解還有什麼。
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本文由Simply Wall St.撰寫,具有概括性。我們僅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並不打算作為財務建議。它不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮你的目標或你的財務狀況。我們的目標是為您帶來由基本面數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不會將最新的對價格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考慮在內。Simply Wall St.對上述任何一隻股票都沒有持倉。