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Opinion: chip stocks can't win right now. investors can

Opinion: chip stocks can't win right now. investors can

觀點:芯片股目前無法取勝。投資者可以
Dow Jones Newswires ·  2021/07/23 11:52  · 觀點

Intel, like Texas Instruments and Taiwan Semiconductor before it, beat earnings expectations but disappointed the market with its forecast. The world's largest microchip makers are ramping up production, but it could take a while to catch up with the demand.

英特爾和之前的德州儀器(Texas Instruments)和台積電(TSMC)一樣,盈利超出預期,但其預測令市場失望。全球最大的幾家微芯片製造商正在提高產量,但可能需要一段時間才能趕上需求。

The key question at the moment is how long will the chip shortage last. Some day soon an executive will answer that with, "how long is a piece of string?" In fact, that was pretty much how Texas Instruments finance chief Rafael Lizardi answered earlier this week.

目前的關鍵問題是芯片短缺會持續多久。不久的將來,一位高管會回答這個問題:“一根繩子有多長?”事實上,德州儀器(Texas Instruments)首席財務官拉斐爾·利扎爾迪(Rafael Lizardi)本週早些時候幾乎就是這樣回答的。

Taiwan Semi says the shortage may last until next year, and Intel says it could stretch into 2023, but both say the crisis will ease in the months ahead.

台灣半導體表示,短缺可能會持續到明年,英特爾表示可能會持續到2023年,但兩家公司都表示,危機將在未來幾個月緩解。

Despite the global shortage leading to strong demand and surging revenues, semiconductor stocks haven't exactly gone into orbit this year. The PHLX Semiconductor index has risen 16.6% year-to-date, which certainly is a strong performance but not significantly outperforming the broader Nasdaq Composite, which has gained 14%.

儘管全球短缺導致了強勁的需求和激增的收入,但半導體類股今年並沒有真正進入軌道。今年到目前為止,PHLX半導體指數已經上漲了16.6%,這當然是一個強勁的表現,但並沒有明顯超過納斯達克綜合指數(Nasdaq Composite),後者已經上漲了14%。

Perhaps the forward-looking markets suspect the peak of the crisis is coming, or has even passed. With expectations sky high and talk of the crisis easing in the months ahead, chip stocks come with risks.

或許前瞻性的市場懷疑危機的高峯即將到來,甚至已經過去。隨着人們對未來幾個月的預期達到極高水平,以及有關危機緩解的傳言,芯片類股也伴隨着風險。

There may be another way for investors. An easing of the crisis later this year may fuel a boost for auto stocks. French car parts maker Valeo said the shortage had peaked and would ease in the second half of 2021. The stock soared 7% in early European trading, also lifting Volkswagen, Renault and Daimler.

對於投資者來説,可能還有另一種方式。今年晚些時候危機的緩解可能會提振汽車類股。法國汽車零部件製造商法雷奧(Valeo)表示,短缺已經見頂,2021年下半年將有所緩解。在歐洲早盤交易中,該股飆升7%,也提振了大眾、雷諾和戴姆勒。

-- Callum Keown

--卡勒姆·基翁

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July 23, 2021 07:29 ET (11:29 GMT)

2021年7月23日07:29美國東部時間(格林尼治標準時間11:29)

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