本日14日はGMMAです。
SQ値が38500円台と思いの外安い水準で決着、NYが強いのに日本株は弱い展開でまたGMMAが陰転しています。これで中期はまた下落トレンドへと、短期中期では方向感がでてきませんね。
こうなると下げてからの日銀アタックで上昇・・を意識させられます。
いずれにせよ、やはり目先の日本株は日銀の発表内容で急騰展開にならない限り上昇はなかなか厳しい状況継続だと思います。
SQ値が38500円台と思いの外安い水準で決着、NYが強いのに日本株は弱い展開でまたGMMAが陰転しています。これで中期はまた下落トレンドへと、短期中期では方向感がでてきませんね。
こうなると下げてからの日銀アタックで上昇・・を意識させられます。
いずれにせよ、やはり目先の日本株は日銀の発表内容で急騰展開にならない限り上昇はなかなか厳しい状況継続だと思います。
8
今日はNT倍率です。
昨日の動画でお話したとおり、米CPI＆FOMCで 金利が下がってハイテク・半導体が上昇、銀行・保険・金融が軟調となりましたね。
ならNTロングなわけですが、期待どおり利益が伸びています。
日本株全体は弱いので上値が重いですが、NTロングなので底も固い、かつ明日の日銀で上放れも警戒せねばならず、本来はCALL売りをしたい地合いも見送りが良さそうです。
まあ日銀の後の動き見てからで十分かと。こういう時 NT倍率は両建て戦術なんで気が楽ですね。
昨日の動画でお話したとおり、米CPI＆FOMCで 金利が下がってハイテク・半導体が上昇、銀行・保険・金融が軟調となりましたね。
ならNTロングなわけですが、期待どおり利益が伸びています。
日本株全体は弱いので上値が重いですが、NTロングなので底も固い、かつ明日の日銀で上放れも警戒せねばならず、本来はCALL売りをしたい地合いも見送りが良さそうです。
まあ日銀の後の動き見てからで十分かと。こういう時 NT倍率は両建て戦術なんで気が楽ですね。
11
I will be on stage for a free YouTube seminar starting at 19:00 on 6/15 (Sat)!
I'm planning to explain chart tactics for beginners at a seminar hosted by Sakura Invest.
It's a chart that isn't introduced anywhere, but anyone can easily create one with TradingView. It's a tactic that produces the same output no matter who does it, and it's easy to do.
Moreover, I will introduce different tactics on the same chart, tactics performed with individual stocks and futures, and tactics performed with the Nikkei 225 option. That's why it's twice as tasty on one chart.
If you participate on the day, 50 pages of seminar materials will be distributed, so you can slowly create a chart after the seminar along with playing archived videos. Furthermore, it also comes with a 3-year backtest, so it also comes with supporting data on how effective the tactic is.
If you want to know chart tactics to win using TradingView, please join us!
Applications are still in time, so please check the following URL.
[6/15 19:00 free seminar]
You can win at TradingView! Practical char...
I'm planning to explain chart tactics for beginners at a seminar hosted by Sakura Invest.
It's a chart that isn't introduced anywhere, but anyone can easily create one with TradingView. It's a tactic that produces the same output no matter who does it, and it's easy to do.
Moreover, I will introduce different tactics on the same chart, tactics performed with individual stocks and futures, and tactics performed with the Nikkei 225 option. That's why it's twice as tasty on one chart.
If you participate on the day, 50 pages of seminar materials will be distributed, so you can slowly create a chart after the seminar along with playing archived videos. Furthermore, it also comes with a 3-year backtest, so it also comes with supporting data on how effective the tactic is.
If you want to know chart tactics to win using TradingView, please join us!
Applications are still in time, so please check the following URL.
[6/15 19:00 free seminar]
You can win at TradingView! Practical char...
Translated
4
Today 12th is the Bolivan reversal.
The S mark is on at 9:15 in the morning. If you keep closing and don't turn off the lights, it's a sign of an imminent decline. This is a chart with a somewhat high work rate, so I feel like it's better to be wary. Okazaki-san is currently being told “this week's buyback market” on Radio NIKKEI, so it may fall after next week lol
The S mark is on at 9:15 in the morning. If you keep closing and don't turn off the lights, it's a sign of an imminent decline. This is a chart with a somewhat high work rate, so I feel like it's better to be wary. Okazaki-san is currently being told “this week's buyback market” on Radio NIKKEI, so it may fall after next week lol
Translated
13
WMAフィボバンドで見ても黄色の39040を突破。
各ラインが異常に収縮していますから、このまま39500まで見に行く上振れの可能性も出てきています。ただし、ここから急落して39000円近辺まで戻されたらレンジ継続となります。
ただ明日の夜に米CPIとFOMCなんで、そこまでは上を仕掛けるのかも知れません。
各ラインが異常に収縮していますから、このまま39500まで見に行く上振れの可能性も出てきています。ただし、ここから急落して39000円近辺まで戻されたらレンジ継続となります。
ただ明日の夜に米CPIとFOMCなんで、そこまでは上を仕掛けるのかも知れません。
7
Today's 11th is a breakpoint.
We have finally reached the high price break point. I've spent around 39,240 yen a few times, so it seems like I'm still going to get ahead of here. While it was written, it went up to 39310 yen.
It's stronger than last night's NY, but it really smells like the trick of SQ Week. That said, it is necessary to keep up with the top in the immediate future, but I want to be wary of losing ground when crossing the SQ just before SQ.
We have finally reached the high price break point. I've spent around 39,240 yen a few times, so it seems like I'm still going to get ahead of here. While it was written, it went up to 39310 yen.
It's stronger than last night's NY, but it really smells like the trick of SQ Week. That said, it is necessary to keep up with the top in the immediate future, but I want to be wary of losing ground when crossing the SQ just before SQ.
Translated
7
Today's 10th took over last week's calm market and started. It's not moving, is it?
Therefore, the band width of the Bollinger Band is rapidly shrinking, but if you look at the WMA Fibo Band, you can see quite a bit of contraction. The top, bottom, and yellow ranges have been within the yellow range for over a week, and the yellow top and bottom widths are only 600 yen.
It's in a relatively abnormal state. In this kind of situation, it will explode sooner or later, so please be careful. The stage is ready for the big game to be set up by MSQ Week.
Therefore, the band width of the Bollinger Band is rapidly shrinking, but if you look at the WMA Fibo Band, you can see quite a bit of contraction. The top, bottom, and yellow ranges have been within the yellow range for over a week, and the yellow top and bottom widths are only 600 yen.
It's in a relatively abnormal state. In this kind of situation, it will explode sooner or later, so please be careful. The stage is ready for the big game to be set up by MSQ Week.
Translated
11
Previous”How much do you know about volatility?I wrote an article called”.
Today is a continuation of that.
Click here for the link to the previous article
How much do you know about volatility?
Now, as I wrote last time, volatility is an important factor for investors and traders, and how much the market fluctuates has a big impact on investment strategies and risk management. Here, I'll write about the risks and opportunities of high volatility and low volatility, respectively.
■High Volatility Risks and Opportunities■
Risks:
Prices rise and fall rapidly in high volatility markets, so unexpected losses are likely to occur.You can suffer huge losses in an instantI mean that.
Of course, even when volatility is low, large losses may occur due to sharp rises or falls, but as a probability, the loss range will be larger when volatility is high.
In these markets, prices often move in a direction not intended by investors, and stress also increases.It tends to be difficult to make calm judgmentsSo you have to be careful.
occasion:
On the other hand,Highly volatile markets make big profits...
Today is a continuation of that.
Click here for the link to the previous article
How much do you know about volatility?
Now, as I wrote last time, volatility is an important factor for investors and traders, and how much the market fluctuates has a big impact on investment strategies and risk management. Here, I'll write about the risks and opportunities of high volatility and low volatility, respectively.
■High Volatility Risks and Opportunities■
Risks:
Prices rise and fall rapidly in high volatility markets, so unexpected losses are likely to occur.You can suffer huge losses in an instantI mean that.
Of course, even when volatility is low, large losses may occur due to sharp rises or falls, but as a probability, the loss range will be larger when volatility is high.
In these markets, prices often move in a direction not intended by investors, and stress also increases.It tends to be difficult to make calm judgmentsSo you have to be careful.
occasion:
On the other hand,Highly volatile markets make big profits...
Translated
![[Important theme] Let's sort out the relationship between volatility and risk](https://sgsnsimg.moomoo.com/sns_client_feed/181150576/20240607/9c67dc4f0f1609548690d2ddc7c28853.png/thumb?area=105&is_public=true)
10
Well, as expected, there will be almost no movement today on the 7th.
I'll keep an eye on the band width of Bollinger Bands for the time being... I'm only going to do lol
As a result, I was OK with short strangles for 1 week. However, I think the market is relaxed with this, so be sure to check positions before employment statistics, and make sure that sales managers act as guards and secure profits. If you enter the night and the 10-day schedule comes out, the band width will shrink even slightly.
There were explosions up or down around here, and Bandwalk is a scene I've seen many times. If employment statistics don't bounce, we will be increasingly wary of the rough MSQ week. I don't think it's okay to have an impossible game.
I'll keep an eye on the band width of Bollinger Bands for the time being... I'm only going to do lol
As a result, I was OK with short strangles for 1 week. However, I think the market is relaxed with this, so be sure to check positions before employment statistics, and make sure that sales managers act as guards and secure profits. If you enter the night and the 10-day schedule comes out, the band width will shrink even slightly.
There were explosions up or down around here, and Bandwalk is a scene I've seen many times. If employment statistics don't bounce, we will be increasingly wary of the rough MSQ week. I don't think it's okay to have an impossible game.
Translated
11
Today's 6th is GMMA.
The negative rotation and positive rotation change every day, so it's an indescribable situation. However, they have tried the 38900 barrier on a 6-day chart, and the current pattern is positive, and the upward trend has returned again in the medium term.
The manufacturing industry is weak and expectations for interest rate cuts are rising, and there is a feeling that they are taking some good place, such as stock prices and stock prices due to a sense of economic security, but the NASDAQ and SOX have exploded due to the explosion in interest rates, so it's strong. The mid-term is positive, so if 38900 can be supported, it will be one step higher, but the front field is heavier than here.
The negative rotation and positive rotation change every day, so it's an indescribable situation. However, they have tried the 38900 barrier on a 6-day chart, and the current pattern is positive, and the upward trend has returned again in the medium term.
The manufacturing industry is weak and expectations for interest rate cuts are rising, and there is a feeling that they are taking some good place, such as stock prices and stock prices due to a sense of economic security, but the NASDAQ and SOX have exploded due to the explosion in interest rates, so it's strong. The mid-term is positive, so if 38900 can be supported, it will be one step higher, but the front field is heavier than here.
Translated
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