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Powell: Not confident rates would lower in March
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Wall Street Today | S&P 500 Teases Journalists, Fed Speak Begs Caution

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Moomoo Recap US joined discussion · Feb 7 15:20
Wall Street Today | S&P 500 Teases Journalists, Fed Speak Begs Caution
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The $S&P 500 Index(.SPX.US)$ nearly reached the 5,000-point mark Wednesday, a symbolic all-time high during a multi-month bull run for AI and tech that shows no sign of stopping. It hovered within a three-point distance for an hour, reaching 4,999.89 at its all-time intraday high, and closed at a record 4,995.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average was also on pace for a record-high close as investors.  Investors shied away from Fed-speak that promised no movement in interest rates any time soon and focused on the second half of earnings season. The $Dow Jones Industrial Average(.DJI.US)$ was up 0.88% to 38,707. The $Nasdaq Composite Index(.IXIC.US)$ was up 0.97%.
Corporate earnings growth is holding up despite a period of sharply rising interest rates. According to Keith Buchanan, senior portfolio manager, it has been the primary reason behind the latest equity rally.
“Investors are taking heart in well-received earnings reports and are settling into Powell’s message, which has moved away from ‘higher-for-longer’ rates to ‘higher-for-not-that-much-longer’ rates,” Buchanan told MarketWatch.
Investors continued to scrutinize the exposure of regional banks to the commercial real estate sector. Moody’s Investors Service downgraded the credit rating of $New York Community Bancorp(NYCB.US)$ by two notches late Tuesday, lowering it to speculative-grade or “junk” status.
Dec Mullarkey, managing director at SLC Management, said the markets are “less alarmed” by the NYCB jitters, as the rest of the regional banks have already reported “sensible numbers,” and their earnings reports don’t reflect accelerating weakness in the commercial real estate sector.
MACRO
Fed Speakers Want Further Slowdown in Inflation Before Cutting Interest Rates
Meanwhile, Federal Reserve officials made another round of appearances. Four Federal Reserve Officials spoke Wednesday, and all said the same thing. Interest rates would come down slowly this year, and investors might not see cuts until after March.
Fed Governor Adriana Kugler said it would be “appropriate” to lower U.S. interest rates if inflation continues to slow and that it is “critical” that inflation returns to the central bank’s target of 2%. Richmond Fed President Tom Barkin told MarketWatch that it’s a good idea for the Fed to take its time with rate cuts. Fed chief Neel Kashkari and Fed President Susan Collins were similarly non-committal.
The thinnest veneer of actual commentary that made up Wednesday's Fed-Speak came two days after Jerome Powell took to 60 Minutes to hammer home the 'March cuts unlikely mantra.'
Treasury Yields Finish Nearly Flat After Strong 10-year Government-bond Auction
Yields on U.S. government debt settled nearly flat on Wednesday afternoon after a $42 billion auction of 10-year notes drew solid demand.
The $U.S. 2-Year Treasury Notes Yield(US2Y.BD)$ rose 1.4 basis points to settle at 4.420%, from 4.406% on Tuesday. Yields move in the opposite direction to prices. The $U.S. 10-Year Treasury Notes Yield(US10Y.BD)$ was up 1.7 basis points to end at 4.108%, versus 4.091% on Tuesday. The $U.S. 30-Year Treasury Bonds Yield(US30Y.BD)$ advanced 1.3 basis points to settle at 4.309%, from 4.296% on Tuesday.
SECTORS
Oil Prices Pare Gains as U.S. Oil Supplies Rise, but Gasoline Stockpiles Decline
Oil futures pared some of their early gains on Wednesday, after official U.S. data revealed a weekly climb of more than 5 million barrels in domestic crude inventories, declines in gasoline and distillate stockpiles, and a rise back to record U.S. oil production.
Developments tied to a potential ceasefire between Israel and Hamas have also helped to ease concerns over risks to oil supplies in the region, limiting gains for oil prices, analysts said.
Wall Street Today | S&P 500 Teases Journalists, Fed Speak Begs Caution
West Texas Intermediate $Crude Oil Futures(JUN4)(CLmain.US)$ rose 12 cents, or 0.2%, to $73.43 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange. It was trading at $73.65 just ahead of the supply data's release. April Brent crude, the global benchmark, was up 53 cents, or 0.7%, at $79.12 a barrel on ICE Futures Europe.
March gasoline added 1.2% to $2.2445 a gallon, while March heating oil climbed 0.8% to $2.7652 a gallon. Natural gas for March delivery NGH24 traded at $1.965 per million British thermal units, down 2.2%, on track for the first settlement below $2 since late March.
COMPANIES
Arm Jumps 21%+ After Raising Full Year Guidance
$Arm Holdings(ARM.US)$ boosted its adjusted earnings per share guidance for the full year; the guidance beat the average analyst estimate.
Enphase Energy Rallies 20%+ Intraday After Analyst Upgrades Stock Despite Earnings Miss
$Enphase Energy(ENPH.US)$ soared more than 20% intraday Wednesday after Oppenheimer upgraded that stock despite the firm reporting worse-than-expected fourth-quarter financial results.
Alibaba -5%, Boosts Stock Buyback Authority by $25 Billion While Earnings Disappoint
$Alibaba(BABA.US)$ posted lackluster sales growth and a plunge in profit in the October-December quarter after the Chinese e-commerce giant booked more than $3 billion in impairments linked to its Sun Art retailer business and its Youku video platform.
Chipotle Shares Climb 8% as Q4 Earnings Beat, Morgan Stanley Boosts Stock Price Target
$Chipotle Mexican Grill(CMG.US)$ shares climbed 8% after the company delivered better-than-expected Q4 results.  "Impressive" traffic growth is expected to support the stock, Morgan Stanley said Wednesday in a report.
ESPN, Fox and Warner Team Up to Create Sports-Streaming Platform
ESPN, Fox Corp., and Warner Bros. Discovery are teaming up to create a supersize sports-streaming service that will offer content from all major leagues, a deal that will reshape the sports and media landscape.
Palantir Still Climbing Two Days After Earnings Surprise
$Palantir(PLTR.US)$ shares are rising again Wednesday after rallying more 6% on continued momentum following the company's better-than-expected quarterly results in which the company highlighted strong demand for its AI platforms. The stock is number four on the moomoo options volume list, with 898k contracts changing hands.
Vans, Timberland Owner VF See Shares Plunge 14% on 'Disappointing' Earnings
$VF Corp(VFC.US)$ shares tumbled 14% after the footwear and apparel company behind brands including North Face, Timberland and Dickies reported revenue that even its own chief executive officer called "disappointing."
Source: Bloomberg, Dow Jones, CNBC, Reuters
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