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[Financial Summary] Meta falls sharply by 13%, sales and profit increases are also sluggish

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moomooニュース米国株 wrote a column · Apr 24 20:03
$Meta Platforms(META.US)$Financial results for the fiscal year ending October to December (fourth quarter) were announced after closing.
[Financial Summary] Meta falls sharply by 13%, sales and profit increases are also sluggish
Sales compared to the same period last year$36.455 billion, up 27%Then,Increased sales and profits for 4 consecutive quartersIt became. Earnings per share were 4.71 dollars, which exceeded market expectations. Internet advertising, which is the main force, was strong, and restructuring effects also appeared, but sales forecasts for the second quarter were in the range of 36.5 billion to 39 billion dollars (median increase of 18% compared to the same period last year) and fell below market expectations of 38.24 billion dollars (median increase of 20% compared to the same period last year). What is the stock price13% super sharp drop
[Financial Summary] Meta falls sharply by 13%, sales and profit increases are also sluggish
The metaverse lost nearly $3.9 billion, and AI is driving ad growth
According to financial reports, the main advertising business revenue was 35.64 billion dollars, which was almost consistent with the forecast of 35.53 billion dollars. It was a 26.8% increase from the same period last year, exceeding the 24% increase in the previous quarter.

Strong demand for e-commerce and games was expected to boost Meta's first quarter earnings due to an increase in advertising revenue and improved work efficiency, but it accounts for about 10% of the company's advertising revenueSlower growth for Chinese advertisers is a potential riskIt is.
[Financial Summary] Meta falls sharply by 13%, sales and profit increases are also sluggish
Reality Labs, which are responsible for developing software technologies such as virtual reality hardware and the metaverse,Record huge losses approaching 4 billion dollars for several consecutive quartersDoing it. Sales for the first quarter of the same division were 440 million dollars, which was lower than expected at 494 million dollars, an increase of about 30% from the same period last year, and operating losses were 3.85 billion dollars, but it was better than the loss of 4.31 billion dollars predicted by the market.

Guidance raised by 2 billion, and investment in AI development increased significantly
According to the company's financial results announcement, the first quarter was off to a good start. Family of Apps showed strong momentum and achieved significant results in long-term strategies related to artificial intelligence and the metaverse.

In addition to the fact that earnings for the next fiscal year fell below the midpoint of the guidance range, Meta revealed that total expenses for the full year would be between 96 billion dollars and 99 billion dollars due to an increase in infrastructure investment and litigation costs, and it was revised upward of 2 billion dollars from the previous forecast of 94 billion dollars, making it comparable to the lower end of the range.

The companyReality Labs' operating losses increased significantly compared to the previous yearThe forecast is shown once again, and due to the acceleration of infrastructure investment to support the AI roadmap, this year's capital investment forecast is from 30 billion to 37 billion dollars, which is the conventional guidanceSignificant increase from 35 billion to 40 billion dollarsThat's it. Capital investment is expected to continue to increase next year. The market is disgusted by future increases in investment burdens for artificial intelligence (AI) development.

What should I pay attention to in the future
Meta promotes AI research, bets heavily on the virtual reality meta-universe, and sells related hardware products such as headsets and devices, but since digital advertisements account for about 97% of the company's revenue throughout the year,How to keep advertising growingThere is no change that whether to do it is the market's biggest concern.

Meanwhile, Meta announced the “world's strongest open source large-scale language model” Llama 3 last week, upgraded the artificial intelligence assistant Meta AI, and announced that Meta Horizon OS, which is a mixed reality OS, will be open this week, etc.Large-scale AI initiativesIt is progressing, and the market is watching closely with concerns about huge expenses and costs.

According to the global investment research company Third Bridge, 2023 is defined as the “year of efficiency improvement” from restructuring cuts at the end of 2022, and Meta, which has undergone quite a major transformation in a relatively short period of time, has really picked up speed in terms of profit growth.
“Investors seem to patiently accept a significant increase in capital investment and operating expenses if the company has experienced significant growth that exceeds expectations. However, while earnings growth slowed in 2022, when stock prices were sluggish, expenses continued to grow rapidly.”

What is the view of Wall Street?
Analysts such as Wells Fargo and JPMorgan Chase have fully factored in Meta's first-quarter results that remain strong, and its high growth rateThere is a possibility that it will cool down in the next few quartersThere is, and I am concerned that new stimuli will be necessary in order to maintain the momentum of advertising.
“There is a growing sense of caution against the slowdown in meta growth that will almost certainly occur after the first quarter due to pressure due to the year-on-year base effect of earnings and market predictions that there will be a shortage of new drivers this year compared to last year,” he said.
Bank of America believes that Meta is still in the early stages of an AI-driven monetization cycle, and that the company's AI assets are undervalued in the market, and MetaKey Beneficiaries of the TikTok Restrictions ActI think there is a possibility that it will become. The US government is calling for ByteDance to be separated from the Chinese company within 9 months to 1 year of the sale.

Meta also faces regulatory concernsI'm doing it. The EU Data Protection Commission stated last week that major online platforms, starting with Meta, should allow users to use their services for free and should not use targeted ads.

Also, there are analysts who argue that Meta's AI assistant, which was upgraded last week, is the company's biggest artificial intelligence concept ever, but it has already sparked controversy. It is said that they make up stories about parents of genius children with disabilities, and that they try to sell products that don't exist.

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Meta received financial results and a sharp depreciation of 18% or more at one point outside of hours = individual US stock bulletin
[Financial Report] Meta (META) 24Q1 financial results: EPS 4.71 dollars (forecast 4.30 dollars), sales 36.455 billion dollars (forecast 36.125 billion dollars)
Source: moomoo, Nihon Keizai Shimbun, Meta IR
This article uses automatic translation for some parts
ー MooMoo News Evelyn
[Financial Summary] Meta falls sharply by 13%, sales and profit increases are also sluggish
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