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S&P 500 hits record high, but technicals still show bullish upside

16th May 2024 (Thurs) Daily Market Outlook
Summary - What Is Happening In The Markets
US stock market indices made new all-time highs last night. S&P futures pushed higher and added a strong +1.16%. Similarly, NASDAQ futures closed +1.56% higher as well. This comes after last night's CPI data came out lower than expected, showing that prices are indeed falling, signalling that inflation is taming down as well. Markets took this as a good sign that the US Fed's restrictive policies are working and are now expecting that the US Fed is progressing well on the path to its first rate cut, possibly in July.
Asian markets rose across the board as HK markets reopened after a short mid-week break. Asian indices, tracked the overnight risk-on sentiment from the US markets. NIKKEI225 climbed by +0.61% this morning . However, its gains were pared shortly after due to a slowing GDP data, showing that the Japanese economy is facing some headwinds. HSI pushed higher by +0.51% after coming back from a holiday with Tencent showing strong gains after its stellar earnings along with the financial sector. STI rose +0.61% this morning as well, with the banks and REITs sector showing strong gains as well.
US Market Key Charts (S&P, US Dollar, Brent Crude Oil, Gold)
S&P 500 hits record high, but technicals still show bullish upside
US Equities (4 Hour Chart) - [BULLISH ↗ **] S&P futures made a new all time high and reached our previous target. As long as price is holding above 5300.00 support, a further push higher towards 5380.00 resistance is expected. Technical indicators are still advocating for further bullish upside.
Alternatively: A 4 hour candlestick close below 5300.00 support will open a pullback towards next support at 5230.50.
CMCSA US
UNH US
S&P 500 hits record high, but technicals still show bullish upside
US Dollar (4 Hour Chart) - [BULLISH ↗ *] As expected, USD dropped lower and even broke below our previous target. We now turn low conviction bullish above 103.950 support, expecting price to shape a short term intraday bounce towards 104.700 resistance. Technical indicators are mixed for now. Price is holding below 34 period EMA. However, RSI is holding above support where price bounced strongly in the past.
Alternatively: A 4 hour candlestick close below 103.950 support will open a drop towards next support at 103.220.
S&P 500 hits record high, but technicals still show bullish upside
Brent Crude Oil Futures (4 Hour Chart) - [NEUTRAL] View unchanged as oil futures continue to whipsaw and consolidate sideways. We remain neutral for now with no clear directional bias. A candlestick close above 83.65 resistance will open a short term rise towards next resistance at 84.90. Technical indicators remain mixed.
Alternatively: A candlestick close below 82.00 support will open a drop towards next support at 81.00.
Stocks To Watch:
OXY US
XOM US
S&P 500 hits record high, but technicals still show bullish upside
Gold Futures (4 Hour Chart) - [NEUTRAL] Gold futures pushed higher, surpassing previous resistance. We turn neutral for now with no clear directional bias. A candlestick close above 2410.50 resistance will open further rise towards next resistance at 2448.00. Technical indicators are mixed as well.
Alternatively: A candlestick close below 2375.00 support will open a drop towards 2340.00 support next.
Stocks To Watch:
GOLD US
HSI Index Futures
S&P 500 hits record high, but technicals still show bullish upside
HSI Futures (4 Hour Chart) - [NEUTRAL] View unchanged as HSI continues to hold below 193000 resistance. We remain neutral with a slight bullish bias. A candlestick close above 19300 resistance will open further rise towards next resistance at 19600. Technical indicators are mixed for now. Price is holding above 34 period EMA. However, RSI is holding below resistance with bearish divergence being posted.
Alternatively: A candlestick close below 18900 support will open drop towards next support at 18600.
Stocks To Watch:
Tencent (700 HK)
SG Market - STI
S&P 500 hits record high, but technicals still show bullish upside
SG Equities (4 Hour Chart) - [BEARISH ↘ *] View remains unchanged as STI is still consolidating within a broad range between 3325 resistance and 3248 support. As long as price continues to hold below 3325 resistance, we remain short term bearish with low conviction, expecting price to drop towards 3248 support level. Technical indicators are mixed. But RSI is reacting below resistance where price pulled lower in the past. Bearish divergence has also been posted.
Alternatively: A candlestick close above 3325.00 resistance will open recovery towards next resistance at 3390.00
Stocks To Watch:
DBS (D05)
OCBC (O39)
Economic Calendar – Events to Watch
US Initial Jobless Claims and Philadelphia Manufacturing Index - 16 May (Thursday)
S&P 500 hits record high, but technicals still show bullish upside
S&P 500 hits record high, but technicals still show bullish upside
SG Non-oil Exports and Trade Balance - 17 May (Friday)
S&P 500 hits record high, but technicals still show bullish upside
S&P 500 hits record high, but technicals still show bullish upside
CH Industrial Production and NBS Press Conference - 17 May (Friday)
S&P 500 hits record high, but technicals still show bullish upside
Prepared by:Moomoo SingaporeIsaac Lim CMT, CFTe
Disclaimer: Moomoo Technologies Inc. is providing this content for information and educational use only. Read more
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