Prediction to Earnings on TSLA (Closing gap slowly, then retest)

TSLA has been experiencing slow growth relative to the S and P. These are my thoughts on TSLA price action up to earnings in mid April. This is a prediction that is longer in time frame compared to my usual predictions, so take with a massive grain of salt. I'll update as more information comes up near earnings.
We see a channel formed starting from the previous earnings. With it's current growth speed, I expect filling the gap early March to the $210 range. I believe attention will continue into semiconductors, and bring TSLA along with them to this point. Since we hit new ATHs with the S and P and NVDA recently, this seems like a good estimate as to when we will see a market correction. Momentum into the S and P seems that it will carry it for a few weeks. The TSLA options market seems to align with this, since we have P/C ratios between 0.5 through 0.75.
After this upward leg, I expect investors to brace for earnings in mid-late March, early April. With no new exciting news coming from the EV space, I think investors will expect a similar results to the previous earnings report. This is where we may begin seeing price action back towards previous lows, potentially retesting $185 to $190 prior to earnings.
Post earnings: It's easy to think we will have a similar result as the previous quarter, since we don't have news, but the EV sector is looking to slash jobs and cut costs. This may help TSLA keep a larger margin that may potentially be lost by Tesla car price cuts.