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Please let me know your predictions

Who are TMF holders
When are long-term interest rates
How far do you expect it to drop
Do you own it?
Please let me use it as a reference.
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  • 新div : Interest rate cuts in June have receded, and so has the number of interest rate cuts in September
    The number of 3 times now may decrease depending on economic indicators.
    However, countries that started cutting interest rates in March
    Switzerland and Mexico
    It might be time to cut interest rates.
    The unemployment rate increased.
    Canada
    June
    Europe may cut interest rates.
    America's neighbors, Canada and Mexico, cut interest rates.
    China is cutting interest rates.

    US corporate financial results for April
    4/16 - Bank Settlement Is Important
    commercial real estate burnt
    What will happen at the end of the day
    The ratings of S&P Global of the five regional banks
    If negative evaluations seem to drop now
    What will happen in the future?

    Maybe interest rate cuts don't go as expected
    The Federal Reserve can eliminate inflation risks as much as possible
    The timing is unknown at the stage

    Maybe the decision to cut interest rates
    Bank collapse in March of last year
    The yield on US bonds in November last year was 5%
    abovementioned
    Is bank failure or a sharp rise in bond yields a guideline?

  • 新div : The bond yield is probably 5% on 10-year bonds
    I can't go.
    If it exceeds 5%, the bank will be quite dangerous.

  • あなたのはレビオサー : Employment statistics record the immigration part, and the unemployment rate ignores immigrants, etc.
    I think it only cut out the good points

    What is certain is the current situation where interest payments are extremely high due to maintaining high interest rates, and they are shaking their own necks

    Rather, I think there will be a strong hard landing if they don't cut interest rates
    An absurd interest rate cut is scary due to a rekindling of inflation
    Personally, I completely missed TMF, so I gave up and held
    Expecting that it will be a long game, I'm thinking of buying more EDVs little by little from around the time they cut 70 dollars and lower the average unit price
    TMF is also worth less than $45, though.
    I'm telling you that now that stocks are expensive, you have to be happy if you can buy them cheaply
    I believed it would rise over time, and I thought it would increase by 5 times or more, but I'm thinking about 2 times as much as Onoji
    Excuse me for the long sentence

  • 新div : The rise of gold
    Bitcoin's rise
    Rise in TMF
    If I could predict everything
    you're rich, aren't you?

    New NISA starting this year
    iFreeNext NASDAQ 100 monthly profit including reserves 3% in 3 months
    Gold ETF GLDM exceeds 20% only once on the 27th of the end of the year

    When it comes to performance, money is definitely better.

    I don't understand this year's trends at all.

    TMF comes in order where I forgot
    I'll wait.

  • アマチュア投資家 : It seems that there is a growing possibility that interest rates will be cut about once a year. The decline is 0.25%, so of course interest rates should have remained high at a fairly high place until then, so it is not an optimistic situation. After that, I wonder if some kind of shock will occur and a hard landing will occur, but no one can predict the future, and I think it would be better to honestly fight according to the scenario at that time.

  • BUCHOYAN : It would be nice if you still have enough spare time to buy more.
    Every day, unrealized losses exceed 1 million in TMF alone, and I want to cover my eyes with interest rates that rise every time economic indicators are announced or important people make statements.
    I had a chance to escape a little while ago (> _ <)
    We now have no choice but to prepare for a long game, but there is also depreciation, so I abandoned the dream of 2 times 3 times and decided to think that it would be good if we finished even somewhere next year.

『ただ経済と投資が好き→ただ好き』 日本個別株メインでやってます。 【パフォーマンス】20年+44% 21年-4.1% 22年-4.3% 23年+51.3%
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