Mastering The Art of Market Timing: A Personal Journey and Strategic Insights

My posts under #markettiming tag on moomoo have garnered attention, encouraging others to engage in market timing discussions.

To those unfamiliar with trading, market timing may seem like a fallacy. However, it's a skill that requires tons of screen time, insight, and a deep understanding of market makers.

These influencers include institutional investment banks, hedge funds, sovereign wealth funds, politicians, and insiders. Deciphering their actions is crucial for successful market timing.

Reading market sentiment often surpasses technical analysis. In this realm, sentiment reigns as King, while price action assumes the role of Queen.

Market timing isn't exclusive to short-term traders; it's equally vital for long-term investors, albeit on different time frames. The consequence of long term investor market timing wrong can be disastrous due to the factor of time. Contrary to what you often read mantra “Time in the market is more important than timing the market”, an investors with long term investing mindset, entry big a the wrong time could wipe out their investment especially in US market and the emotion of realising a big loss (due to factor of time) can be very emotional.

1. Decipher Technical Price Actions:Understand the nuances of technical price actions to inform your market entry and exit decisions.

2. Read Market Sentiments:Developing the ability to read market sentiments is crucial for anticipating market movements.

3. Forecast Social Trends:Successful market timing involves forecasting social trends, enabling you to position yourself ahead of the market.

4. The Trend is Not Necessary Your Friend: Ultimately, it is still price action and how price reacted.

5. Breakout trade risk: Many gurus always tell you to take a trade after the fact. Well, if you follow what they said, you will definitely get washed out by market makers and algo.

5. Timing profit taking is far more difficult to implment than timing entry: It is human nature of fear versus greed.

During the March 2020 Covid-19 pandemic, anticipating the market turn two days before market did a V-shape reversal, led to a profitable entry, resulting in over 155% ROI for AWX.SI.

In late 2020, predicted Nvidia will be the mother of all rocket launches. It exploded 200% in 2023 YTD.

Intraday/Swing trades demand multiple instances of market timing. Key examples include:

Nvidia (Oct 30, 2023): A strategic re-entry after a recent exit (just 3 trading days earlier) with 131% ROI, resulting in a current ROI of 18.36% (drop form high of 24% on the eve on the day Nvidia announce earning report which I had also foreseen manipulation will come in to depress the stock price down.

SMCI: Achieving the fastest ROI of 22% in just 8 days.

RIOT: A recent entry (yesterday) resulting in a 5% ROI.

IONQ: An intraday swing last week yielding an 8.4% gain in a single day. But was too sick take advantage of the foreseen pump and dump one day earlier.

Are there no losses? Of course no. The hardest part is how to manage your emotion and keep losses small taking into account the stock range.

The biggest challenge lies in knowing when to take profit for swing trades and managing emotions. Market makers, despite mixed sentiments, play a crucial role, as their actions drive opportunities for traders. Market makers create liquidity. Without them, the market will remain stagnant.

In the market, money transfers from the skilled to the unskilled. Mastering market timing is a continuous journey that requires skill, insight, and a deep understanding of market dynamics.