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Where Will the Fed's Terminal Rate Land? Here are Wall Street Expectations to Watch

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In One Chart wrote a column · Dec 6, 2022 02:08
Where Will the Fed's Terminal Rate Land? Here are Wall Street Expectations to Watch
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  • Giovanni Ayala : 🤔🧐

  • Peanny : Hmmmmm

  • The Random Investor : The Fed will pivot soon enough. Higher Fed interest rates make government debt more expensive and the debt to GDP ratio is over 120%. There are certain stocks that are already at a bottom

    This is When the Stock Market Will Bottom

  • intuitive Jackal_354 : see know one knows, if you ask me it's the same propaganda that the nazis used to control the German people.  maybe it's time to get some fresh eyes on it cause Bidens flunkys don't have a clue

  • Louis JB : Get it over and done with. This interest thing has a niggling effect on the market and people who needs to get on.

  • 102405503 No limit : k

  • StlCtyPreach : 🤔💭 No matter what choice the FED makes it's going to lead to more PAIN in the markets. The real question(s) we should be asking is "how will it happen" and "how long will it last"?!

    PAUSE (or Rate Hike under 50bps)
    Expected 50bps Rate Hike
    Keeping Status Quo at 75bps
    Paul Volcker (Rate Hike over 100bps)

    Even with a pause or reduction in rates any market rally we see is most likely to be short lived. Most stock market bottoms of the past have come after a PIVOT from the FED, and thus a reduction in rates (if viewed as a PIVOT) should predictably be followed by a large correction.

    👀 NOPE, NO FINANCIAL ADVICE HERE 👀

  • Daveed2022 : anyone that thinks a few months of 5.5% rates is going to cure a decade of low rates and QE that led to 15% real inflation is delusional. Vulker tried a soft landing and failed when inflation roared back, eventually uncontrollable inflation lead him to destroy the economy and high inflation by raising rates accordingly.

  • 71723544 : if you look DJones, compared  to August, the drop was for 2 months, dropping to 360 I believe, so it looks like the drop going to be the same, Affected, SPY 500, this not look good, that's the only way they make to stocks goes to the Low rate, that's My personal opinion, what are your thoughts?

  • 71723544 : sorry not 360 it drop to 290...

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