By buying an index fund, investors can approximate the average market return. But many of us dare to dream of bigger returns, and build a portfolio ourselves. For example, Jiangsu Suzhou Rural Commercial Bank Co., Ltd (SHSE:603323) shareholders have seen the share price rise 12% over three years, well in excess of the market decline (19%, not including dividends). However, more recent returns haven't been as impressive as that, with the stock returning just 8.2% in the last year , including dividends .
The past week has proven to be lucrative for Jiangsu Suzhou Rural Commercial Bank investors, so let's see if fundamentals drove the company's three-year performance.
While markets are a powerful pricing mechanism, share prices reflect investor sentiment, not just underlying business performance. By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.
Jiangsu Suzhou Rural Commercial Bank was able to grow its EPS at 21% per year over three years, sending the share price higher. This EPS growth is higher than the 4% average annual increase in the share price. So one could reasonably conclude that the market has cooled on the stock. We'd venture the lowish P/E ratio of 5.35 also reflects the negative sentiment around the stock.
The graphic below depicts how EPS has changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).
We know that Jiangsu Suzhou Rural Commercial Bank has improved its bottom line lately, but is it going to grow revenue? If you're interested, you could check this free report showing consensus revenue forecasts.
What About Dividends?
It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. We note that for Jiangsu Suzhou Rural Commercial Bank the TSR over the last 3 years was 24%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!
A Different Perspective
It's nice to see that Jiangsu Suzhou Rural Commercial Bank shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 8.2% over the last year. And that does include the dividend. That gain is better than the annual TSR over five years, which is 0.9%. Therefore it seems like sentiment around the company has been positive lately. In the best case scenario, this may hint at some real business momentum, implying that now could be a great time to delve deeper. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Jiangsu Suzhou Rural Commercial Bank better, we need to consider many other factors. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for Jiangsu Suzhou Rural Commercial Bank that you should be aware of.
For those who like to find winning investments this free list of growing companies with recent insider purchasing, could be just the ticket.
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.