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Some Confidence Is Lacking In IVD Medical Holding Limited (HKG:1931) As Shares Slide 29%

華検医療ホールディングス株式会社(HKG:1931)の株価が29%下落する中、自信に欠けるとの見方もある。

Simply Wall St ·  05/12 21:02

IVD Medical Holding Limited (HKG:1931) shareholders that were waiting for something to happen have been dealt a blow with a 29% share price drop in the last month. Longer-term shareholders will rue the drop in the share price, since it's now virtually flat for the year after a promising few quarters.

Although its price has dipped substantially, it's still not a stretch to say that IVD Medical Holding's price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 8.4x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the market in Hong Kong, where the median P/E ratio is around 10x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/E.

IVD Medical Holding has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing earnings at a solid pace. It might be that many expect the respectable earnings performance to wane, which has kept the P/E from rising. If that doesn't eventuate, then existing shareholders probably aren't too pessimistic about the future direction of the share price.

pe-multiple-vs-industry
SEHK:1931 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry May 13th 2024
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on IVD Medical Holding will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

How Is IVD Medical Holding's Growth Trending?

The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/E like IVD Medical Holding's is when the company's growth is tracking the market closely.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company managed to grow earnings per share by a handy 13% last year. Pleasingly, EPS has also lifted 47% in aggregate from three years ago, partly thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Accordingly, shareholders would have probably welcomed those medium-term rates of earnings growth.

Comparing that to the market, which is predicted to deliver 21% growth in the next 12 months, the company's momentum is weaker based on recent medium-term annualised earnings results.

In light of this, it's curious that IVD Medical Holding's P/E sits in line with the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited recent growth rates and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. Maintaining these prices will be difficult to achieve as a continuation of recent earnings trends is likely to weigh down the shares eventually.

The Key Takeaway

IVD Medical Holding's plummeting stock price has brought its P/E right back to the rest of the market. Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

Our examination of IVD Medical Holding revealed its three-year earnings trends aren't impacting its P/E as much as we would have predicted, given they look worse than current market expectations. Right now we are uncomfortable with the P/E as this earnings performance isn't likely to support a more positive sentiment for long. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve, it's challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.

Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 2 warning signs for IVD Medical Holding that you should be aware of.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on IVD Medical Holding, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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