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Fujian Zitian Media Technology Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300280) Shares May Have Slumped 32% But Getting In Cheap Is Still Unlikely

福建紫天新媒体科技股份有限公司(SZSE:300280)の株式は32%下落したかもしれませんが、安く入るのはまだ不可能です。

Simply Wall St ·  05/06 19:12

Fujian Zitian Media Technology Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300280) shares have had a horrible month, losing 32% after a relatively good period beforehand. The recent drop has obliterated the annual return, with the share price now down 2.5% over that longer period.

Although its price has dipped substantially, you could still be forgiven for feeling indifferent about Fujian Zitian Media Technology's P/S ratio of 2.2x, since the median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio for the Machinery industry in China is also close to 2.7x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/S.

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:300280 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry May 6th 2024

How Has Fujian Zitian Media Technology Performed Recently?

The recent revenue growth at Fujian Zitian Media Technology would have to be considered satisfactory if not spectacular. It might be that many expect the respectable revenue performance to only match most other companies over the coming period, which has kept the P/S from rising. Those who are bullish on Fujian Zitian Media Technology will be hoping that this isn't the case, so that they can pick up the stock at a lower valuation.

Although there are no analyst estimates available for Fujian Zitian Media Technology, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The P/S?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Fujian Zitian Media Technology would need to produce growth that's similar to the industry.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company managed to grow revenues by a handy 6.6% last year. The latest three year period has also seen a 19% overall rise in revenue, aided somewhat by its short-term performance. So we can start by confirming that the company has actually done a good job of growing revenue over that time.

This is in contrast to the rest of the industry, which is expected to grow by 26% over the next year, materially higher than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.

With this information, we find it interesting that Fujian Zitian Media Technology is trading at a fairly similar P/S compared to the industry. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited recent growth rates and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. They may be setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with recent growth rates.

The Bottom Line On Fujian Zitian Media Technology's P/S

With its share price dropping off a cliff, the P/S for Fujian Zitian Media Technology looks to be in line with the rest of the Machinery industry. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

Our examination of Fujian Zitian Media Technology revealed its poor three-year revenue trends aren't resulting in a lower P/S as per our expectations, given they look worse than current industry outlook. When we see weak revenue with slower than industry growth, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, bringing the P/S back in line with expectations. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, the probability of a share price decline will become quite substantial, placing shareholders at risk.

You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 2 warning signs for Fujian Zitian Media Technology you should be aware of.

If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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