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Why It Might Not Make Sense To Buy Yunnan Baiyao Group Co.,Ltd (SZSE:000538) For Its Upcoming Dividend

買う理由がない理由:今後の配当について、雲南白药集団股份有限公司(SZSE:000538)を購入することは合理的ではない可能性があります。

Simply Wall St ·  05/05 20:51

Readers hoping to buy Yunnan Baiyao Group Co.,Ltd (SZSE:000538) for its dividend will need to make their move shortly, as the stock is about to trade ex-dividend. The ex-dividend date is one business day before the record date, which is the cut-off date for shareholders to be present on the company's books to be eligible for a dividend payment. The ex-dividend date is an important date to be aware of as any purchase of the stock made on or after this date might mean a late settlement that doesn't show on the record date. In other words, investors can purchase Yunnan Baiyao GroupLtd's shares before the 10th of May in order to be eligible for the dividend, which will be paid on the 10th of May.

The company's next dividend payment will be CN¥2.077 per share, and in the last 12 months, the company paid a total of CN¥2.08 per share. Based on the last year's worth of payments, Yunnan Baiyao GroupLtd stock has a trailing yield of around 3.6% on the current share price of CN¥57.25. Dividends are a major contributor to investment returns for long term holders, but only if the dividend continues to be paid. So we need to investigate whether Yunnan Baiyao GroupLtd can afford its dividend, and if the dividend could grow.

Dividends are typically paid out of company income, so if a company pays out more than it earned, its dividend is usually at a higher risk of being cut. Its dividend payout ratio is 87% of profit, which means the company is paying out a majority of its earnings. The relatively limited profit reinvestment could slow the rate of future earnings growth. We'd be worried about the risk of a drop in earnings. Yet cash flow is typically more important than profit for assessing dividend sustainability, so we should always check if the company generated enough cash to afford its dividend. The company paid out 100% of its free cash flow over the last year, which we think is outside the ideal range for most businesses. Companies usually need cash more than they need earnings - expenses don't pay themselves - so it's not great to see it paying out so much of its cash flow.

Yunnan Baiyao GroupLtd paid out less in dividends than it reported in profits, but unfortunately it didn't generate enough cash to cover the dividend. Were this to happen repeatedly, this would be a risk to Yunnan Baiyao GroupLtd's ability to maintain its dividend.

Click here to see the company's payout ratio, plus analyst estimates of its future dividends.

historic-dividend
SZSE:000538 Historic Dividend May 6th 2024

Have Earnings And Dividends Been Growing?

Companies with consistently growing earnings per share generally make the best dividend stocks, as they usually find it easier to grow dividends per share. If earnings decline and the company is forced to cut its dividend, investors could watch the value of their investment go up in smoke. This is why it's a relief to see Yunnan Baiyao GroupLtd earnings per share are up 4.1% per annum over the last five years. Earnings have been growing somewhat, but we're concerned dividend payments consumed most of the company's cash flow over the past year.

Many investors will assess a company's dividend performance by evaluating how much the dividend payments have changed over time. In the past 10 years, Yunnan Baiyao GroupLtd has increased its dividend at approximately 24% a year on average. It's encouraging to see the company lifting dividends while earnings are growing, suggesting at least some corporate interest in rewarding shareholders.

To Sum It Up

Is Yunnan Baiyao GroupLtd an attractive dividend stock, or better left on the shelf? Yunnan Baiyao GroupLtd is paying out a reasonable percentage of its income and an uncomfortably high 100% of its cash flow as dividends. At least earnings per share have been growing steadily. With the way things are shaping up from a dividend perspective, we'd be inclined to steer clear of Yunnan Baiyao GroupLtd.

Having said that, if you're looking at this stock without much concern for the dividend, you should still be familiar of the risks involved with Yunnan Baiyao GroupLtd. For example, we've found 1 warning sign for Yunnan Baiyao GroupLtd that we recommend you consider before investing in the business.

Generally, we wouldn't recommend just buying the first dividend stock you see. Here's a curated list of interesting stocks that are strong dividend payers.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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