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Central China New Life Limited's (HKG:9983) P/S Is Still On The Mark Following 27% Share Price Bounce

建業地産ニューライフリミテッド(HKG:9983)のP / Sは、株価が27%上昇した後もマークにあります。

Simply Wall St ·  05/02 18:10

Those holding Central China New Life Limited (HKG:9983) shares would be relieved that the share price has rebounded 27% in the last thirty days, but it needs to keep going to repair the recent damage it has caused to investor portfolios. Still, the 30-day jump doesn't change the fact that longer term shareholders have seen their stock decimated by the 57% share price drop in the last twelve months.

Although its price has surged higher, there still wouldn't be many who think Central China New Life's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.5x is worth a mention when the median P/S in Hong Kong's Real Estate industry is similar at about 0.6x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/S.

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SEHK:9983 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry May 2nd 2024

How Central China New Life Has Been Performing

While the industry has experienced revenue growth lately, Central China New Life's revenue has gone into reverse gear, which is not great. It might be that many expect the dour revenue performance to strengthen positively, which has kept the P/S from falling. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Central China New Life will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

Is There Some Revenue Growth Forecasted For Central China New Life?

The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/S like Central China New Life's is when the company's growth is tracking the industry closely.

In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 9.6%. This has soured the latest three-year period, which nevertheless managed to deliver a decent 7.2% overall rise in revenue. So we can start by confirming that the company has generally done a good job of growing revenue over that time, even though it had some hiccups along the way.

Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 5.7% each year as estimated by the four analysts watching the company. With the industry predicted to deliver 5.4% growth per year, the company is positioned for a comparable revenue result.

In light of this, it's understandable that Central China New Life's P/S sits in line with the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are expecting to see average future growth and are only willing to pay a moderate amount for the stock.

The Final Word

Central China New Life's stock has a lot of momentum behind it lately, which has brought its P/S level with the rest of the industry. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

Our look at Central China New Life's revenue growth estimates show that its P/S is about what we expect, as both metrics follow closely with the industry averages. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement or deterioration in revenue isn't great enough to push P/S in a higher or lower direction. All things considered, if the P/S and revenue estimates contain no major shocks, then it's hard to see the share price moving strongly in either direction in the near future.

Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for Central China New Life that you should be aware of.

If you're unsure about the strength of Central China New Life's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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