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HOOKIPA Pharma Inc. (NASDAQ:HOOK) Stock Catapults 25% Though Its Price And Business Still Lag The Industry

Simply Wall St ·  Apr 28 10:46

Despite an already strong run, HOOKIPA Pharma Inc. (NASDAQ:HOOK) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 25% in the last thirty days. Unfortunately, the gains of the last month did little to right the losses of the last year with the stock still down 11% over that time.

Even after such a large jump in price, HOOKIPA Pharma may still be sending very bullish signals at the moment with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 4.4x, since almost half of all companies in the Biotechs industry in the United States have P/S ratios greater than 13x and even P/S higher than 59x are not unusual. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly reduced P/S.

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqCM:HOOK Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry April 28th 2024

What Does HOOKIPA Pharma's Recent Performance Look Like?

HOOKIPA Pharma could be doing better as it's been growing revenue less than most other companies lately. It seems that many are expecting the uninspiring revenue performance to persist, which has repressed the growth of the P/S ratio. If you still like the company, you'd be hoping revenue doesn't get any worse and that you could pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

Keen to find out how analysts think HOOKIPA Pharma's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

How Is HOOKIPA Pharma's Revenue Growth Trending?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, HOOKIPA Pharma would need to produce anemic growth that's substantially trailing the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 41% gain to the company's top line. Although, its longer-term performance hasn't been as strong with three-year revenue growth being relatively non-existent overall. Accordingly, shareholders probably wouldn't have been overly satisfied with the unstable medium-term growth rates.

Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to slump, contracting by 34% per annum during the coming three years according to the four analysts following the company. That's not great when the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 163% each year.

With this information, we are not surprised that HOOKIPA Pharma is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. Nonetheless, there's no guarantee the P/S has reached a floor yet with revenue going in reverse. Even just maintaining these prices could be difficult to achieve as the weak outlook is weighing down the shares.

What We Can Learn From HOOKIPA Pharma's P/S?

HOOKIPA Pharma's recent share price jump still sees fails to bring its P/S alongside the industry median. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

It's clear to see that HOOKIPA Pharma maintains its low P/S on the weakness of its forecast for sliding revenue, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in revenue isn't great enough to justify a higher P/S ratio. It's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

Having said that, be aware HOOKIPA Pharma is showing 4 warning signs in our investment analysis, and 1 of those is a bit unpleasant.

If you're unsure about the strength of HOOKIPA Pharma's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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