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We Think S.A.S. Dragon Holdings' (HKG:1184) Healthy Earnings Might Be Conservative

S.A.S.ドラゴンホールディングス(HKG:1184)の収益は健全であると思われますが、保守的である可能性があります。

Simply Wall St ·  04/25 19:04

The market seemed underwhelmed by last week's earnings announcement from S.A.S. Dragon Holdings Limited (HKG:1184) despite the healthy numbers. We did some digging, and we think that investors are missing some encouraging factors in the underlying numbers.

earnings-and-revenue-history
SEHK:1184 Earnings and Revenue History April 25th 2024

A Closer Look At S.A.S. Dragon Holdings' Earnings

In high finance, the key ratio used to measure how well a company converts reported profits into free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio (from cashflow). The accrual ratio subtracts the FCF from the profit for a given period, and divides the result by the average operating assets of the company over that time. The ratio shows us how much a company's profit exceeds its FCF.

Therefore, it's actually considered a good thing when a company has a negative accrual ratio, but a bad thing if its accrual ratio is positive. That is not intended to imply we should worry about a positive accrual ratio, but it's worth noting where the accrual ratio is rather high. To quote a 2014 paper by Lewellen and Resutek, "firms with higher accruals tend to be less profitable in the future".

S.A.S. Dragon Holdings has an accrual ratio of -0.24 for the year to December 2023. Therefore, its statutory earnings were very significantly less than its free cashflow. In fact, it had free cash flow of HK$1.0b in the last year, which was a lot more than its statutory profit of HK$403.8m. S.A.S. Dragon Holdings shareholders are no doubt pleased that free cash flow improved over the last twelve months. However, that's not all there is to consider. We can see that unusual items have impacted its statutory profit, and therefore the accrual ratio.

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of S.A.S. Dragon Holdings.

The Impact Of Unusual Items On Profit

S.A.S. Dragon Holdings' profit was reduced by unusual items worth HK$87m in the last twelve months, and this helped it produce high cash conversion, as reflected by its unusual items. This is what you'd expect to see where a company has a non-cash charge reducing paper profits. It's never great to see unusual items costing the company profits, but on the upside, things might improve sooner rather than later. We looked at thousands of listed companies and found that unusual items are very often one-off in nature. And, after all, that's exactly what the accounting terminology implies. Assuming those unusual expenses don't come up again, we'd therefore expect S.A.S. Dragon Holdings to produce a higher profit next year, all else being equal.

Our Take On S.A.S. Dragon Holdings' Profit Performance

In conclusion, both S.A.S. Dragon Holdings' accrual ratio and its unusual items suggest that its statutory earnings are probably reasonably conservative. Based on these factors, we think S.A.S. Dragon Holdings' underlying earnings potential is as good as, or probably even better, than the statutory profit makes it seem! In light of this, if you'd like to do more analysis on the company, it's vital to be informed of the risks involved. You'd be interested to know, that we found 1 warning sign for S.A.S. Dragon Holdings and you'll want to know about it.

After our examination into the nature of S.A.S. Dragon Holdings' profit, we've come away optimistic for the company. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying to be useful.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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