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Reliance Global Holdings Limited's (HKG:723) 47% Share Price Surge Not Quite Adding Up

Reliance Global Holdings Limitedの(HKG:723)の株価が47%上昇しても、全く一致していない

Simply Wall St ·  04/18 21:40

Despite an already strong run, Reliance Global Holdings Limited (HKG:723) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 47% in the last thirty days. The last 30 days bring the annual gain to a very sharp 83%.

Even after such a large jump in price, you could still be forgiven for feeling indifferent about Reliance Global Holdings' P/S ratio of 0.6x, since the median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio for the Forestry industry in Hong Kong is about the same. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/S without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SEHK:723 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry April 19th 2024

What Does Reliance Global Holdings' Recent Performance Look Like?

For instance, Reliance Global Holdings' receding revenue in recent times would have to be some food for thought. It might be that many expect the company to put the disappointing revenue performance behind them over the coming period, which has kept the P/S from falling. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

Although there are no analyst estimates available for Reliance Global Holdings, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Is There Some Revenue Growth Forecasted For Reliance Global Holdings?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should be matching the industry for P/S ratios like Reliance Global Holdings' to be considered reasonable.

Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 45%. This means it has also seen a slide in revenue over the longer-term as revenue is down 63% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.

In contrast to the company, the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 12% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term revenue decline into perspective.

In light of this, it's somewhat alarming that Reliance Global Holdings' P/S sits in line with the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh on the share price eventually.

What Does Reliance Global Holdings' P/S Mean For Investors?

Its shares have lifted substantially and now Reliance Global Holdings' P/S is back within range of the industry median. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

We find it unexpected that Reliance Global Holdings trades at a P/S ratio that is comparable to the rest of the industry, despite experiencing declining revenues during the medium-term, while the industry as a whole is expected to grow. Even though it matches the industry, we're uncomfortable with the current P/S ratio, as this dismal revenue performance is unlikely to support a more positive sentiment for long. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at risk and potential investors in danger of paying an unnecessary premium.

Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 3 warning signs for Reliance Global Holdings (1 makes us a bit uncomfortable) you should be aware of.

Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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