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Qingyan Environmental Technology's (SZSE:301288) Earnings Are Weaker Than They Seem

清燕環境テクノロジー(SZSE:301288)の収益は、見かけよりも弱いです

Simply Wall St ·  04/02 18:46

Unsurprisingly, Qingyan Environmental Technology Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:301288) stock price was strong on the back of its healthy earnings report. However, we think that shareholders may be missing some concerning details in the numbers.

earnings-and-revenue-history
SZSE:301288 Earnings and Revenue History April 2nd 2024

Zooming In On Qingyan Environmental Technology's Earnings

One key financial ratio used to measure how well a company converts its profit to free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio. The accrual ratio subtracts the FCF from the profit for a given period, and divides the result by the average operating assets of the company over that time. You could think of the accrual ratio from cashflow as the 'non-FCF profit ratio'.

As a result, a negative accrual ratio is a positive for the company, and a positive accrual ratio is a negative. That is not intended to imply we should worry about a positive accrual ratio, but it's worth noting where the accrual ratio is rather high. Notably, there is some academic evidence that suggests that a high accrual ratio is a bad sign for near-term profits, generally speaking.

For the year to December 2023, Qingyan Environmental Technology had an accrual ratio of 0.27. Therefore, we know that it's free cashflow was significantly lower than its statutory profit, which is hardly a good thing. In the last twelve months it actually had negative free cash flow, with an outflow of CN¥49m despite its profit of CN¥21.0m, mentioned above. Coming off the back of negative free cash flow last year, we imagine some shareholders might wonder if its cash burn of CN¥49m, this year, indicates high risk. Having said that, there is more to the story. The accrual ratio is reflecting the impact of unusual items on statutory profit, at least in part.

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Qingyan Environmental Technology.

How Do Unusual Items Influence Profit?

Given the accrual ratio, it's not overly surprising that Qingyan Environmental Technology's profit was boosted by unusual items worth CN¥4.1m in the last twelve months. While we like to see profit increases, we tend to be a little more cautious when unusual items have made a big contribution. When we crunched the numbers on thousands of publicly listed companies, we found that a boost from unusual items in a given year is often not repeated the next year. And that's as you'd expect, given these boosts are described as 'unusual'. If Qingyan Environmental Technology doesn't see that contribution repeat, then all else being equal we'd expect its profit to drop over the current year.

Our Take On Qingyan Environmental Technology's Profit Performance

Qingyan Environmental Technology had a weak accrual ratio, but its profit did receive a boost from unusual items. Considering all this we'd argue Qingyan Environmental Technology's profits probably give an overly generous impression of its sustainable level of profitability. If you'd like to know more about Qingyan Environmental Technology as a business, it's important to be aware of any risks it's facing. Case in point: We've spotted 3 warning signs for Qingyan Environmental Technology you should be mindful of and 2 of them are a bit concerning.

In this article we've looked at a number of factors that can impair the utility of profit numbers, and we've come away cautious. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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