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Guangdong VTR Bio-Tech Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300381) Held Back By Insufficient Growth Even After Shares Climb 26%

広東VTRバイオテック株式会社(SZSE:300381)は、株価が26%上昇したにもかかわらず、成長不足によって抑えられました。

Simply Wall St ·  03/18 18:22

Those holding Guangdong VTR Bio-Tech Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300381) shares would be relieved that the share price has rebounded 26% in the last thirty days, but it needs to keep going to repair the recent damage it has caused to investor portfolios. Unfortunately, the gains of the last month did little to right the losses of the last year with the stock still down 35% over that time.

In spite of the firm bounce in price, Guangdong VTR Bio-Tech's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 3.2x might still make it look like a strong buy right now compared to the wider Biotechs industry in China, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios above 7.7x and even P/S above 13x are quite common. However, the P/S might be quite low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:300381 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry March 18th 2024

How Guangdong VTR Bio-Tech Has Been Performing

For example, consider that Guangdong VTR Bio-Tech's financial performance has been poor lately as its revenue has been in decline. Perhaps the market believes the recent revenue performance isn't good enough to keep up the industry, causing the P/S ratio to suffer. Those who are bullish on Guangdong VTR Bio-Tech will be hoping that this isn't the case so that they can pick up the stock at a lower valuation.

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Guangdong VTR Bio-Tech's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/S?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should far underperform the industry for P/S ratios like Guangdong VTR Bio-Tech's to be considered reasonable.

In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 47%. This means it has also seen a slide in revenue over the longer-term as revenue is down 60% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.

In contrast to the company, the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 182% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term revenue decline into perspective.

In light of this, it's understandable that Guangdong VTR Bio-Tech's P/S would sit below the majority of other companies. However, we think shrinking revenues are unlikely to lead to a stable P/S over the longer term, which could set up shareholders for future disappointment. Even just maintaining these prices could be difficult to achieve as recent revenue trends are already weighing down the shares.

What We Can Learn From Guangdong VTR Bio-Tech's P/S?

Shares in Guangdong VTR Bio-Tech have risen appreciably however, its P/S is still subdued. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

As we suspected, our examination of Guangdong VTR Bio-Tech revealed its shrinking revenue over the medium-term is contributing to its low P/S, given the industry is set to grow. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/S as they concede future revenue probably won't provide any pleasant surprises either. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.

There are also other vital risk factors to consider and we've discovered 3 warning signs for Guangdong VTR Bio-Tech (2 can't be ignored!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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