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Houpu Clean Energy Group Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:300471) Shares Climb 26% But Its Business Is Yet to Catch Up

houpu clean energy groupの株式(SZSE:300471)が26%上昇したが、ビジネスはまだ追いついていない

Simply Wall St ·  03/09 19:27

Houpu Clean Energy Group Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300471) shareholders are no doubt pleased to see that the share price has bounced 26% in the last month, although it is still struggling to make up recently lost ground. Unfortunately, the gains of the last month did little to right the losses of the last year with the stock still down 17% over that time.

After such a large jump in price, given around half the companies in China's Energy Services industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 2.2x, you may consider Houpu Clean Energy Group as a stock to avoid entirely with its 5.2x P/S ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/S.

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:300471 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry March 10th 2024

How Has Houpu Clean Energy Group Performed Recently?

The revenue growth achieved at Houpu Clean Energy Group over the last year would be more than acceptable for most companies. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is high because investors think this respectable revenue growth will be enough to outperform the broader industry in the near future. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Houpu Clean Energy Group will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

Is There Enough Revenue Growth Forecasted For Houpu Clean Energy Group?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as steep as Houpu Clean Energy Group's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the industry decidedly.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company managed to grow revenues by a handy 12% last year. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 64% overall rise in revenue, aided somewhat by its short-term performance. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing revenues over that time.

It's interesting to note that the rest of the industry is similarly expected to grow by 18% over the next year, which is fairly even with the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.

With this information, we find it interesting that Houpu Clean Energy Group is trading at a high P/S compared to the industry. Apparently many investors in the company are more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. Although, additional gains will be difficult to achieve as a continuation of recent revenue trends would weigh down the share price eventually.

What We Can Learn From Houpu Clean Energy Group's P/S?

The strong share price surge has lead to Houpu Clean Energy Group's P/S soaring as well. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

We didn't expect to see Houpu Clean Energy Group trade at such a high P/S considering its last three-year revenue growth has only been on par with the rest of the industry. When we see average revenue with industry-like growth combined with a high P/S, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, bringing the P/S back in line with the industry too. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve, it's challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.

You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 2 warning signs for Houpu Clean Energy Group you should be aware of.

If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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