Guangdong Hongda Holdings Group Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002683) shareholders are no doubt pleased to see that the share price has bounced 27% in the last month, although it is still struggling to make up recently lost ground. Not all shareholders will be feeling jubilant, since the share price is still down a very disappointing 39% in the last twelve months.
In spite of the firm bounce in price, Guangdong Hongda Holdings Group may still be sending bullish signals at the moment with its price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 21.9x, since almost half of all companies in China have P/E ratios greater than 31x and even P/E's higher than 56x are not unusual. However, the P/E might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
With its earnings growth in positive territory compared to the declining earnings of most other companies, Guangdong Hongda Holdings Group has been doing quite well of late. One possibility is that the P/E is low because investors think the company's earnings are going to fall away like everyone else's soon. If not, then existing shareholders have reason to be quite optimistic about the future direction of the share price.
How Is Guangdong Hongda Holdings Group's Growth Trending?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should underperform the market for P/E ratios like Guangdong Hongda Holdings Group's to be considered reasonable.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew earnings per share by an impressive 25% last year. Pleasingly, EPS has also lifted 72% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the last 12 months of growth. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing earnings over that time.
Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 7.5% during the coming year according to the dual analysts following the company. With the market predicted to deliver 41% growth , the company is positioned for a weaker earnings result.
With this information, we can see why Guangdong Hongda Holdings Group is trading at a P/E lower than the market. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on while the company is potentially eyeing a less prosperous future.
The Key Takeaway
Guangdong Hongda Holdings Group's stock might have been given a solid boost, but its P/E certainly hasn't reached any great heights. We'd say the price-to-earnings ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
We've established that Guangdong Hongda Holdings Group maintains its low P/E on the weakness of its forecast growth being lower than the wider market, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in earnings isn't great enough to justify a higher P/E ratio. It's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.
There are also other vital risk factors to consider before investing and we've discovered 1 warning sign for Guangdong Hongda Holdings Group that you should be aware of.
It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.