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The Three-year Shareholder Returns and Company Earnings Persist Lower as Guangzhou Yuexiu Capital Holdings Group (SZSE:000987) Stock Falls a Further 3.1% in Past Week

広州越秀都市開発控股集団(SZSE:000987)株が過去1週間でさらに3.1%下落し、3年間の株主還元率と企業収益は低下し続けています。

Simply Wall St ·  02/19 19:33

It can certainly be frustrating when a stock does not perform as hoped. But no-one can make money on every call, especially in a declining market. While the Guangzhou Yuexiu Capital Holdings Group Co., Ltd. (SZSE:000987) share price is down 27% in the last three years, the total return to shareholders (which includes dividends) was -21%. That's better than the market which declined 28% over the last three years. The falls have accelerated recently, with the share price down 12% in the last three months. Of course, this share price action may well have been influenced by the 14% decline in the broader market, throughout the period.

Given the past week has been tough on shareholders, let's investigate the fundamentals and see what we can learn.

To paraphrase Benjamin Graham: Over the short term the market is a voting machine, but over the long term it's a weighing machine. One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).

During the three years that the share price fell, Guangzhou Yuexiu Capital Holdings Group's earnings per share (EPS) dropped by 16% each year. This fall in the EPS is worse than the 10% compound annual share price fall. So the market may not be too worried about the EPS figure, at the moment -- or it may have previously priced some of the drop in.

The graphic below depicts how EPS has changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).

earnings-per-share-growth
SZSE:000987 Earnings Per Share Growth February 20th 2024

Dive deeper into Guangzhou Yuexiu Capital Holdings Group's key metrics by checking this interactive graph of Guangzhou Yuexiu Capital Holdings Group's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

What About Dividends?

When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. As it happens, Guangzhou Yuexiu Capital Holdings Group's TSR for the last 3 years was -21%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!

A Different Perspective

While it's certainly disappointing to see that Guangzhou Yuexiu Capital Holdings Group shares lost 9.4% throughout the year, that wasn't as bad as the market loss of 20%. Of course, the long term returns are far more important and the good news is that over five years, the stock has returned 1.7% for each year. It could be that the business is just facing some short term problems, but shareholders should keep a close eye on the fundamentals. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. Case in point: We've spotted 2 warning signs for Guangzhou Yuexiu Capital Holdings Group you should be aware of, and 1 of them makes us a bit uncomfortable.

If you would prefer to check out another company -- one with potentially superior financials -- then do not miss this free list of companies that have proven they can grow earnings.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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