The last three months have been tough on CITIC Niya Wine Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600084) shareholders, who have seen the share price decline a rather worrying 34%. But in three years the returns have been great. In fact, the share price is up a full 125% compared to three years ago. To some, the recent share price pullback wouldn't be surprising after such a good run. If the business can perform well for years to come, then the recent drop could be an opportunity.
In light of the stock dropping 24% in the past week, we want to investigate the longer term story, and see if fundamentals have been the driver of the company's positive three-year return.
CITIC Niya Wine wasn't profitable in the last twelve months, it is unlikely we'll see a strong correlation between its share price and its earnings per share (EPS). Arguably revenue is our next best option. Generally speaking, companies without profits are expected to grow revenue every year, and at a good clip. That's because it's hard to be confident a company will be sustainable if revenue growth is negligible, and it never makes a profit.
CITIC Niya Wine's revenue trended up 8.6% each year over three years. That's a very respectable growth rate. It's fair to say that the market has acknowledged the growth by pushing the share price up 31% per year. The business has made good progress on the top line, but the market is extrapolating the growth. Some investors like to buy in just after a company becomes profitable, since that can be a powerful inflexion point.
The graphic below depicts how earnings and revenue have changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).
We're pleased to report that the CEO is remunerated more modestly than most CEOs at similarly capitalized companies. It's always worth keeping an eye on CEO pay, but a more important question is whether the company will grow earnings throughout the years. It might be well worthwhile taking a look at our free report on CITIC Niya Wine's earnings, revenue and cash flow.
A Different Perspective
We regret to report that CITIC Niya Wine shareholders are down 36% for the year. Unfortunately, that's worse than the broader market decline of 28%. Having said that, it's inevitable that some stocks will be oversold in a falling market. The key is to keep your eyes on the fundamental developments. Longer term investors wouldn't be so upset, since they would have made 16%, each year, over five years. If the fundamental data continues to indicate long term sustainable growth, the current sell-off could be an opportunity worth considering. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. Consider risks, for instance. Every company has them, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for CITIC Niya Wine you should know about.
We will like CITIC Niya Wine better if we see some big insider buys. While we wait, check out this free list of growing companies with considerable, recent, insider buying.
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content?Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
CITIC Niya Wine Co.、Ltd.(SHSE:600084)の株主は、最近の株価下落率34%を心配する期間が3か月間続いています。 しかし、3年間の収益は素晴らしく、株価は実際に3年前と比較して125%上昇しました。 最近の株価の下落が良い実績後には驚くことではないと考える人もいるかもしれません。 ビジネスが将来も好調である場合、最近の下落はチャンスになるかもしれません。
CITIC Niya Wineは過去12か月間では利益を上げておらず、株価とEPSは強い相関関係にありません。売上高は次の選択肢となります。一般に、利益を上げていない企業は毎年売上高を良いペースで伸ばすことが期待されています。それは、売上高の成長が微小で利益を上げない場合、企業が持続可能であるかどうか自信を持つのが難しいためです。
CITIC Niya Wineの売上高は、3年間で年平均8.6%アップしています。 それは非常に尊敬できる成長率です。 市場は成長を認め、株価を年平均31%押し上げています。 ビジネスはトップラインで良い進展を遂げていますが、市場はその成長を予測しています。 いくつかの投資家は、企業が利益を上げ始めた直後に購入することを好むことがあります。なぜなら、それは強力な転換点となる可能性があるためです。
当社CEOは、同等の資本を持つ企業のCEOの多くよりも控えめな報酬を受け取っていることを報告できて嬉しく思っています。CEOの報酬に注意する価値は常にありますが、より重要な問題は、企業が年間を通じて利益を成長させるかどうかです。CITIC Niya Wineの収益、売上高、キャッシュフローに関する無料レポートをご覧いただくことをお勧めします。
異なる視点
残念ながら、CITIC Niya Wineの株主は今年36%減少しています。残念ながら、それは28%の広範な市場の下落よりも悪い数字です。とは言え、下落している市場で一部の株式は過剰に売られる運命にあるため、基本的な発展を注視することが重要です。長期的な投資家は、5年間で年間16%のリターンを上げているため、そう悲しむ必要はありません。株価に与える市場環境の異なる影響を考慮することは十分に価値がありますが、さらに重要な要因があります。危険性を考慮してください。すべての企業にはそれらがあり、当社はCITIC Niya Wineに関する1つの警告サインを見つけました。
私たちは、いくつかの大きなインサイダーバイが現れると、CITIC Niya Wineがよりよくなると考えています。待つ間、最近のインサイダー購入が非常に多い急成長企業の無料リストをチェックしてください。