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Lacklustre Performance Is Driving Shenzhen Changfang Group Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:300301) 29% Price Drop

シンセン・チャンファン・グループ株式会社(SZSE:300301)の低迷するパフォーマンスが29%の株価下落をもたらしている

Simply Wall St ·  02/05 18:12

To the annoyance of some shareholders, Shenzhen Changfang Group Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300301) shares are down a considerable 29% in the last month, which continues a horrid run for the company. Instead of being rewarded, shareholders who have already held through the last twelve months are now sitting on a 36% share price drop.

Following the heavy fall in price, Shenzhen Changfang Group may be sending very bullish signals at the moment with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1.6x, since almost half of all companies in the Semiconductor industry in China have P/S ratios greater than 5.5x and even P/S higher than 10x are not unusual. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so limited.

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:300301 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry February 5th 2024

What Does Shenzhen Changfang Group's Recent Performance Look Like?

For instance, Shenzhen Changfang Group's receding revenue in recent times would have to be some food for thought. Perhaps the market believes the recent revenue performance isn't good enough to keep up the industry, causing the P/S ratio to suffer. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

Although there are no analyst estimates available for Shenzhen Changfang Group, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/S?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Shenzhen Changfang Group would need to produce anemic growth that's substantially trailing the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 38% decrease to the company's top line. As a result, revenue from three years ago have also fallen 56% overall. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenue over that time.

Weighing that medium-term revenue trajectory against the broader industry's one-year forecast for expansion of 35% shows it's an unpleasant look.

With this information, we are not surprised that Shenzhen Changfang Group is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. However, we think shrinking revenues are unlikely to lead to a stable P/S over the longer term, which could set up shareholders for future disappointment. There's potential for the P/S to fall to even lower levels if the company doesn't improve its top-line growth.

The Key Takeaway

Shenzhen Changfang Group's P/S looks about as weak as its stock price lately. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

As we suspected, our examination of Shenzhen Changfang Group revealed its shrinking revenue over the medium-term is contributing to its low P/S, given the industry is set to grow. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in revenue isn't great enough to justify a higher P/S ratio. Given the current circumstances, it seems unlikely that the share price will experience any significant movement in either direction in the near future if recent medium-term revenue trends persist.

It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 2 warning signs with Shenzhen Changfang Group, and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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