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Chongqing Fuling Zhacai Group Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:002507) Fundamentals Look Pretty Strong: Could The Market Be Wrong About The Stock?

重慶富陵彩グループ有限公司」s (SZSE: 002507) のファンダメンタルズはかなり堅調に見えます。市場は株式について誤解しているのでしょうか?

Simply Wall St ·  02/01 01:17

It is hard to get excited after looking at Chongqing Fuling Zhacai Group's (SZSE:002507) recent performance, when its stock has declined 21% over the past three months. However, a closer look at its sound financials might cause you to think again. Given that fundamentals usually drive long-term market outcomes, the company is worth looking at. Particularly, we will be paying attention to Chongqing Fuling Zhacai Group's ROE today.

ROE or return on equity is a useful tool to assess how effectively a company can generate returns on the investment it received from its shareholders. In simpler terms, it measures the profitability of a company in relation to shareholder's equity.

See our latest analysis for Chongqing Fuling Zhacai Group

How Do You Calculate Return On Equity?

Return on equity can be calculated by using the formula:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Chongqing Fuling Zhacai Group is:

11% = CN¥862m ÷ CN¥8.1b (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2023).

The 'return' refers to a company's earnings over the last year. Another way to think of that is that for every CN¥1 worth of equity, the company was able to earn CN¥0.11 in profit.

What Has ROE Got To Do With Earnings Growth?

So far, we've learned that ROE is a measure of a company's profitability. Based on how much of its profits the company chooses to reinvest or "retain", we are then able to evaluate a company's future ability to generate profits. Generally speaking, other things being equal, firms with a high return on equity and profit retention, have a higher growth rate than firms that don't share these attributes.

Chongqing Fuling Zhacai Group's Earnings Growth And 11% ROE

When you first look at it, Chongqing Fuling Zhacai Group's ROE doesn't look that attractive. However, the fact that the its ROE is quite higher to the industry average of 8.5% doesn't go unnoticed by us. This certainly adds some context to Chongqing Fuling Zhacai Group's moderate 7.7% net income growth seen over the past five years. Bear in mind, the company does have a moderately low ROE. It is just that the industry ROE is lower. Hence there might be some other aspects that are causing earnings to grow. For example, it is possible that the broader industry is going through a high growth phase, or that the company has a low payout ratio.

As a next step, we compared Chongqing Fuling Zhacai Group's net income growth with the industry and found that the company has a similar growth figure when compared with the industry average growth rate of 7.3% in the same period.

past-earnings-growth
SZSE:002507 Past Earnings Growth February 1st 2024

Earnings growth is a huge factor in stock valuation. The investor should try to establish if the expected growth or decline in earnings, whichever the case may be, is priced in. By doing so, they will have an idea if the stock is headed into clear blue waters or if swampy waters await. Is 002507 fairly valued? This infographic on the company's intrinsic value has everything you need to know.

Is Chongqing Fuling Zhacai Group Efficiently Re-investing Its Profits?

Chongqing Fuling Zhacai Group has a three-year median payout ratio of 37%, which implies that it retains the remaining 63% of its profits. This suggests that its dividend is well covered, and given the decent growth seen by the company, it looks like management is reinvesting its earnings efficiently.

Besides, Chongqing Fuling Zhacai Group has been paying dividends for at least ten years or more. This shows that the company is committed to sharing profits with its shareholders. Based on the latest analysts' estimates, we found that the company's future payout ratio over the next three years is expected to hold steady at 32%. Accordingly, forecasts suggest that Chongqing Fuling Zhacai Group's future ROE will be 11% which is again, similar to the current ROE.

Conclusion

On the whole, we feel that Chongqing Fuling Zhacai Group's performance has been quite good. Particularly, we like that the company is reinvesting heavily into its business at a moderate rate of return. Unsurprisingly, this has led to an impressive earnings growth. That being so, the latest analyst forecasts show that the company will continue to see an expansion in its earnings. To know more about the latest analysts predictions for the company, check out this visualization of analyst forecasts for the company.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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