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Optimistic Investors Push Shenzhen Huakong Seg Co., Ltd. (SZSE:000068) Shares Up 30% But Growth Is Lacking

楽観的な投資家が深セン華孔色谷株式会社(SZSE:000068)の株価を30%上昇させましたが、成長に欠けています

Simply Wall St ·  01/19 21:26

The Shenzhen Huakong Seg Co., Ltd. (SZSE:000068) share price has done very well over the last month, posting an excellent gain of 30%. Looking further back, the 14% rise over the last twelve months isn't too bad notwithstanding the strength over the last 30 days.

After such a large jump in price, Shenzhen Huakong Seg may be sending sell signals at present with a price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 5.3x, when you consider almost half of the companies in the Electronic industry in China have P/S ratios under 4x and even P/S lower than 2x aren't out of the ordinary. However, the P/S might be high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

View our latest analysis for Shenzhen Huakong Seg

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:000068 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry January 20th 2024

How Shenzhen Huakong Seg Has Been Performing

As an illustration, revenue has deteriorated at Shenzhen Huakong Seg over the last year, which is not ideal at all. Perhaps the market believes the company can do enough to outperform the rest of the industry in the near future, which is keeping the P/S ratio high. If not, then existing shareholders may be quite nervous about the viability of the share price.

Although there are no analyst estimates available for Shenzhen Huakong Seg, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/S?

Shenzhen Huakong Seg's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver solid growth, and importantly, perform better than the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 29% decrease to the company's top line. Still, the latest three year period has seen an excellent 230% overall rise in revenue, in spite of its unsatisfying short-term performance. Although it's been a bumpy ride, it's still fair to say the revenue growth recently has been more than adequate for the company.

Comparing the recent medium-term revenue trends against the industry's one-year growth forecast of 60% shows it's noticeably less attractive.

With this in mind, we find it worrying that Shenzhen Huakong Seg's P/S exceeds that of its industry peers. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.

What Does Shenzhen Huakong Seg's P/S Mean For Investors?

The large bounce in Shenzhen Huakong Seg's shares has lifted the company's P/S handsomely. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

Our examination of Shenzhen Huakong Seg revealed its poor three-year revenue trends aren't detracting from the P/S as much as we though, given they look worse than current industry expectations. Right now we aren't comfortable with the high P/S as this revenue performance isn't likely to support such positive sentiment for long. Unless there is a significant improvement in the company's medium-term performance, it will be difficult to prevent the P/S ratio from declining to a more reasonable level.

You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 2 warning signs for Shenzhen Huakong Seg you should be aware of, and 1 of them is potentially serious.

Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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