share_log

There's Reason For Concern Over Hang Tai Yue Group Holdings Limited's (HKG:8081) Massive 26% Price Jump

杭泰鱼グループホールディングス(HKG:8081)の株価が26%急騰したことについて懸念がある理由がある

Simply Wall St ·  2023/10/04 18:19

Hang Tai Yue Group Holdings Limited (HKG:8081) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a 26% gain and recovering from prior weakness. Taking a wider view, although not as strong as the last month, the full year gain of 18% is also fairly reasonable.

After such a large jump in price, Hang Tai Yue Group Holdings' price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 12.6x might make it look like a sell right now compared to the market in Hong Kong, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios below 9x and even P/E's below 4x are quite common. However, the P/E might be high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

For example, consider that Hang Tai Yue Group Holdings' financial performance has been poor lately as its earnings have been in decline. It might be that many expect the company to still outplay most other companies over the coming period, which has kept the P/E from collapsing. If not, then existing shareholders may be quite nervous about the viability of the share price.

See our latest analysis for Hang Tai Yue Group Holdings

pe-multiple-vs-industry
SEHK:8081 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry October 4th 2023
Although there are no analyst estimates available for Hang Tai Yue Group Holdings, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Is There Enough Growth For Hang Tai Yue Group Holdings?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should outperform the market for P/E ratios like Hang Tai Yue Group Holdings' to be considered reasonable.

Taking a look back first, the company's earnings per share growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 61%. At least EPS has managed not to go completely backwards from three years ago in aggregate, thanks to the earlier period of growth. So it appears to us that the company has had a mixed result in terms of growing earnings over that time.

This is in contrast to the rest of the market, which is expected to grow by 25% over the next year, materially higher than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.

With this information, we find it concerning that Hang Tai Yue Group Holdings is trading at a P/E higher than the market. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. There's a good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/E falls to levels more in line with recent growth rates.

The Bottom Line On Hang Tai Yue Group Holdings' P/E

Hang Tai Yue Group Holdings' P/E is getting right up there since its shares have risen strongly. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-earnings ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

We've established that Hang Tai Yue Group Holdings currently trades on a much higher than expected P/E since its recent three-year growth is lower than the wider market forecast. Right now we are increasingly uncomfortable with the high P/E as this earnings performance isn't likely to support such positive sentiment for long. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, it's very challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.

Having said that, be aware Hang Tai Yue Group Holdings is showing 3 warning signs in our investment analysis, and 1 of those can't be ignored.

If you're unsure about the strength of Hang Tai Yue Group Holdings' business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

これらの内容は、情報提供及び投資家教育のためのものであり、いかなる個別株や投資方法を推奨するものではありません。 更に詳しい情報
    コメントする