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YCIH Green High-Performance Concrete Company Limited's (HKG:1847) 25% Share Price Surge Not Quite Adding Up

YCIHグリーン高性能コンクリート株式会社(HKG:1847)の株価急騰は少し合点がいかない

Simply Wall St ·  2023/09/06 18:06

YCIH Green High-Performance Concrete Company Limited (HKG:1847) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a 25% gain and recovering from prior weakness. Looking further back, the 11% rise over the last twelve months isn't too bad notwithstanding the strength over the last 30 days.

Although its price has surged higher, you could still be forgiven for feeling indifferent about YCIH Green High-Performance Concrete's P/S ratio of 0.2x, since the median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio for the Basic Materials industry in Hong Kong is also close to 0.5x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/S.

Check out our latest analysis for YCIH Green High-Performance Concrete

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SEHK:1847 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry September 6th 2023

How YCIH Green High-Performance Concrete Has Been Performing

For example, consider that YCIH Green High-Performance Concrete's financial performance has been poor lately as its revenue has been in decline. It might be that many expect the company to put the disappointing revenue performance behind them over the coming period, which has kept the P/S from falling. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

Although there are no analyst estimates available for YCIH Green High-Performance Concrete, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The P/S Ratio?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should be matching the industry for P/S ratios like YCIH Green High-Performance Concrete's to be considered reasonable.

Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 12%. This means it has also seen a slide in revenue over the longer-term as revenue is down 58% in total over the last three years. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenue over that time.

This is in contrast to the rest of the industry, which is expected to decline by 0.1% over the next year, or less than the company's recent medium-term annualised revenue decline.

In light of this, it's somewhat peculiar that YCIH Green High-Performance Concrete's P/S sits in line with the majority of other companies. In general, when revenue shrink rapidly the P/S often shrinks too, which could set up shareholders for future disappointment. Maintaining these prices will be difficult to achieve as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh down the shares eventually.

The Final Word

YCIH Green High-Performance Concrete appears to be back in favour with a solid price jump bringing its P/S back in line with other companies in the industry Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

Our examination of YCIH Green High-Performance Concrete revealed its sharp three-year contraction in revenue isn't impacting its P/S as much as we would have predicted, given the industry is set to shrink less severely. Right now we are uncomfortable with the P/S as this revenue performance isn't likely to support a more positive sentiment for long. We're also cautious about the company's ability to stay its recent medium-term course and resist even greater pain to its business from the broader industry turmoil. Unless the company's relative performance improves, it's challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.

You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 3 warning signs for YCIH Green High-Performance Concrete you should be aware of, and 2 of them are a bit concerning.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on YCIH Green High-Performance Concrete, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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